Table 4.
Summary statistics for stage III forecasts.
Probes | n(z) bias | n(z) model | δS8 [σ] | 1/σ68(S8) |
![]() |
S/N |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
γγ | true | do nothing | 0.00 | 20.71 | 0.00 | 592 |
unbiased | −0.01 | 20.59 | 0.00 | 590 | ||
incoherent | −0.29 | 20.73 | 0.40 | 625 | ||
coherent | 0.32 | 20.00 | 0.59 | 676 | ||
unbiased | δzi | −0.09 | 20.50 | 0.00 | 590 | |
incoherent | −0.10 | 20.35 | 0.61 | 625 | ||
coherent | −0.10 | 22.03 | 0.55 | 676 | ||
unbiased | 𝒩comb + δzi | −0.09 | 20.25 | 0.00 | 590 | |
incoherent | −0.05 | 20.40 | 0.00 | 625 | ||
coherent | −0.03 | 21.14 | 0.00 | 676 | ||
unbiased | 𝒩comb | 0.00 | 20.20 | 0.00 | 590 | |
incoherent | −0.01 | 20.44 | 0.00 | 625 | ||
coherent | 0.04 | 21.47 | 0.00 | 676 | ||
Probes | n(z) bias | n(z) model | δS8, Ωm [σ] | FoM |
![]() |
S/N |
3 × 2 pt | true | do nothing | 0.00 | 2130 | 0.00 | 9854 |
unbiased | 0.00 | 2136 | 0.03 | 9851 | ||
incoherent | 0.07 | 2044 | 1.27 | 9885 | ||
coherent | 0.35 | 2170 | 1.32 | 9933 | ||
unbiased | δzi | 0.01 | 2041 | 0.02 | 9851 | |
incoherent | 0.04 | 2091 | 1.43 | 9885 | ||
coherent | 0.15 | 2189 | 1.97 | 9933 | ||
unbiased | 𝒩comb + δzi | 0.00 | 2098 | 0.05 | 9851 | |
incoherent | 0.00 | 2144 | 0.09 | 9885 | ||
coherent | 0.00 | 2196 | 0.14 | 9933 | ||
unbiased | 𝒩comb | 0.00 | 2131 | 0.05 | 9851 | |
incoherent | 0.01 | 2121 | 0.09 | 9885 | ||
coherent | 0.00 | 2181 | 0.14 | 9933 | ||
3ph × 2 pt | true | do nothing | 0.00 | 2027 | 0.00 | 7146 |
unbiased | 0.23 | 2055 | 4.47 | 7094 | ||
incoherent | 2.36 | 1480 | 46.97 | 7099 | ||
coherent | 2.21 | 1783 | 76.52 | 7888 | ||
unbiased | δzi | 0.00 | 1809 | 2.06 | 7094 | |
incoherent | 0.55 | 1721 | 19.41 | 7099 | ||
coherent | 0.56 | 2325 | 29.96 | 7888 | ||
unbiased | 𝒩comb + δzi | 0.09 | 1825 | 0.41 | 7094 | |
incoherent | 0.23 | 1956 | 0.83 | 7099 | ||
coherent | 0.35 | 2097 | 0.87 | 7888 | ||
unbiased | 𝒩comb | 0.22 | 2041 | 0.50 | 7094 | |
incoherent | 0.02 | 1980 | 0.98 | 7099 | ||
coherent | 0.17 | 2220 | 1.10 | 7888 | ||
6 × 2 pt | true | do nothing | 0.00 | 2972 | 0.00 | 16 134 |
unbiased | 0.21 | 3046 | 8.60 | 16 087 | ||
incoherent | 1.01 | 2942 | 79.42 | 16 107 | ||
coherent | 2.05 | 3080 | 104.36 | 16 102 | ||
unbiased | δzi | 0.01 | 2787 | 6.34 | 16 087 | |
incoherent | 0.33 | 2598 | 43.12 | 16 107 | ||
coherent | 0.33 | 2658 | 67.90 | 16 102 | ||
unbiased | 𝒩comb + δzi | 0.37 | 2997 | 14.21 | 16 087 | |
incoherent | 0.01 | 2851 | 24.38 | 16 107 | ||
coherent | 0.02 | 2658 | 39.18 | 16 102 | ||
unbiased | 𝒩comb | 0.49 | 3300 | 14.31 | 16 087 | |
incoherent | 0.02 | 3008 | 24.53 | 16 107 | ||
coherent | 0.14 | 2899 | 39.54 | 16 102 |
Notes. Stage III survey forecasts were conducted with various sets of cosmological probes, redshift biases, and redshift recalibration nuisance models (left-most columns; see also Table 2). The remaining columns give: the posterior mean parameter bias (in units of σ, see the end of Sect. 4) on S8, or on the S8 − Ωm plane (Eq. (4.2)), relative to the idealized case (; boldface rows); the inverse error 1/σ68 on S8, or the S8 − Ωm FoM; the best-fit χd2 at the MAP parameter set (Eq. (2.23)); and the S/N of the data-vector (hence the numbers for different nuisance models are the same when sharing the same data-vector). Numbers for forecasts conducted with exactly zero redshift bias (
) are given in boldface. As expected, we see a perfect recovery of the fiducial parameters by the MAP when the bias is exactly zero, signified by zero χ2 (some biased shear-only cases show zero χ2 due to rounding).
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