Fig. 12.

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Prior 𝒫(ω) (yellow) and posterior distributions of (Ωm, Ωb, σ8, nS), estimated using Population Monte Carlo based on the Fisher-Rao distance
between simulated and observed summaries. The posterior with the well-specified Model A is represented by the green contours, whilst the red contours show the results with the misspecified Model B, both depicting the 1σ and 2σ credible regions. The percent-level misspecification in Model B introduces a bias exceeding 2σ in the (Ωm, σ8) plane. The one-dimensional marginal posterior distributions of the parameters are displayed on the diagonal, following the same colour scheme. The dashed line indicates the ground truth parameters ωgt.
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