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Table 2

Time series model components with parameters θ used in this work.

Name Function θ Prior PDF, P(θ;α) θmin, θmax

TSMod1
Off b b  −∞,∞
Sin a Gamma(a;shape,scale) 0,∞
ν Gamma(ν;shape,scale) 0,∞
φ U(φ) 0,1

TSMod2
Stoch ω Gamma(ω;shape,scale) 0,∞
OUprocess see appendix A τ Gamma(τ;shape,scale) 0,∞
c Gamma(c;shape,scale) 0,∞
b  −∞,∞
μ [z1  −∞,∞
0,∞

Notes. The penultimate column shows the prior PDFs over these parameters, which themselves have (hyper)parameters α. These prior PDFs respect the limits on θ listed in the final column. U() is the uniform distribution between 0 and 1, so has no free parameters. Note that a in the Sin model is the peak-to-peak amplitude of the sinusoid. The uniform model for TSMod3 is used throughout (Eq. (5)).

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