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Fig. 5.

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BBH merger rate density as a function of redshift for different observational scaling relations (different colors) and CE α parameters (different panels). Each color is associated with a different SFR–M* relation, as summarized in the legend in the top left-hand panel. The solid lines show the model with Mmin = 107 M. The shaded area encompasses the difference between Mmin = 106 M (upper boundary), and Mmin = 108 M (lower boundary). All the models assume the fiducial fundamental metallicity relation by Andrews & Martini (2013). The thick dashed lines show the merger rate density obtained with COSMOATE (simplified model), assuming the cosmic SFR density by Madau & Dickinson (2014) and a lognormal distribution for the metallicity with a spread σ Z = 0.1 $ \tilde{\sigma}_{\mathrm{Z}}=0.1 $ (dark gray) and 0.6 (light gray). The gray-shaded regions show the MRD inferred by the LVK collaboration: ℛ(z)∝(1 + z)k (Abbott et al. 2023b).

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