Fraction of quenched galaxies as a function of stellar mass at redshifts in the same redshift bins. The predictions from DECODE are shown for central galaxies only (blue solid lines). We compare DECODE’s predictions with the observed quenched fractions from the COSMOS2015 (cyan solid lines and shaded areas; Davidzon et al. 2017) and COSMOS2020 (red squares with error bars; Weaver et al. 2023) surveys. Further data from Muzzin et al. (2013) (green rhombuses with error bars), Wetzel et al. (2013) (orange triangles with error bars), Lin et al. (2014) (purple pentagons with error bars), and Bluck et al. (2024) (JWST-CEERS at 1 < z < 2 and 2 < z < 4, violet dashed lines and shaded areas) are shown for comparison.