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Table 4

Quality assessment of the XGBoost models generated during iterations 1 and 2.

Iteration 1 Iteration 2


Assessment DS0 DS1 DS2 DS3 DS4 DS5 DS6 DS7 DS0 DS1 DS2 DS3 DS4 DS5 DS6 DS7
m etric 170 155 146 146 146 28 28 28 170 155 146 146 146 28 28 28
µerr (prot) 0.0535 0.0796 0.0898 0.0617 0.0425 0.0549 0.0452 0.0760 0.0423 0.0775 0.0849 0.0607 0.0424 0.0560 0.0458 0.0722
µerr (prot) 0.0364 0.0549 0.0556 0.0475 0.0409 0.0480 0.0427 0.0532 0.0300 0.0549 0.0528 0.0463 0.0405 0.0489 0.0425 0.0499
acc10 0.923 0.859 0.854 0.889 0.896 0.884 0.892 0.861 0.931 0.861 0.868 0.897 0.896 0.884 0.895 0.873
RMSE (train/test) 0.872 0.741 0.686 0.551 0.619 0.629 0.584 0.979 0.547 0.752 0.574 0.467 0.511 0.590 0.393 0.650
2.22 2.66 2.84 2.13 2.08 2.18 2.307 2.69 2.10 2.66 2.84 2.09 2.10 2.17 2.33 2.65
MAE (train/test) 0.377 0.452 0.425 0.339 0.384 0.378 0.357 0.575 0.241 0.453 0.351 0.289 0.321 0.345 0.251 0.395
0.803 1.27 1.34 1.03 1.07 1.08 1.13 1.28 0.719 1.29 1.28 0.995 1.07 1.08 1.12 1.22
Radj2${\bf{R}}_{{\bf{adj}}}^2$ (test) 0.963 0.947 0.942 0.955 0.948 0.952 0.938 0.943 0.967 0.947 0.942 0.957 0.948 0.953 0.937 0.945

Notes. All quality measures are presented with three significant figures. The header indicates the number of predictors in each data set. The first two rows show the mean absolute value of the relative residuals measured on the period and frequency regimes; the next row corresponds to the interval-based accuracy defined in Sect. 3.3, with a width of 10% of the reference values; the last three rows show the RMSE and the MAE days, both computed on the training and testing sets, and the adjusted coefficient of determination (calculated on the testing set). The best results for each metric (except for RMSE and MAE) are shown in bold.

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