Open Access
Table 2
Translation table between some relevant frequentist significance values and their Bayesian interpretation, adapted from Benneke & Seager (2013) and Jeffreys (1998).
| Bayesian | Frequentist | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 𝒦 | log10 (𝒦) | P(ℳ1|D) | Ev. strength | P-value | “sigma” |
| 2.5 | 0.40 | 0.714 | Weak | 0.05 | 2.0σ |
| 2.9 | 0.46 | 0.744 | Weak | 0.04 | 2.1σ |
| 8.0 | 0.90 | 0.889 | Substantial | 0.01 | 2.6σ |
| 12.0 | 1.08 | 0.923 | Strong | 0.006 | 2.7σ |
| 21.0 | 1.32 | 0.955 | Strong | 0.003 | 3.0σ |
| 53.0 | 1.72 | 0.981 | Strong | 0.001 | 3.3σ |
| 150.0 | 2.18 | 0.993 | Decisive | 0.0003 | 3.6σ |
| 43000.0 | 3.63 | 0.99998 | Decisive | 6 × 10−7 | 5.0σ |
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