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Fig. 1.

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Finite-time MLE of the forced secular ISS over 5 Gyr for different degrees of truncation of the Hamiltonian and the corresponding Lyapunov time FT-MLE−1. The bands represent the [5th, 95th] percentile range of the PDF estimated from ensembles of 128 (ℋ2n) and 1148 (ℋ) stable orbital solutions with very close initial conditions. The black lines denote the nominal solution 𝒮 for nine different initial tangent vectors.

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