Fig. 5

P(zs|DMexc) projections after application of Bayes’ theorem, illustrating potential source redshift zs ranges for FRBs with observed excess electron components DMexc. The model chosen assumes FRB progenitors to follow YPSR distributions in spiral galaxies. Left subplot: DMexc projections (solid lines) against P(zs|DMIGM) (dashed lines), illustrating the influence of the host contribution. A uniform (U(0,6) prior redshift distribution is assumed. Right subplot: projections for an FRB of DMexc equal to thatof FRB 121102. Uniform (pink) and Erlang (P(zs) = P(zs;k, γ)) prior redshift distributions are compared. Vertical lines indicating FRB 121102’s redshift as predicted conventionally (dash-dotted) and as observed spectroscopically (dashed) are included. Models are normalised to ensure ∫ P(zs |DM) dz = 1.
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