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Table 6
Bayes factors and their interpretation between the nested models and relative probabilities of the models.
| Bayes F.a | ln(B) | Pref.b | Interpr.c |
|---|---|---|---|
| B01 | + 0.6 | M0 | Weak |
| B02 | + 2.1 | M0 | Positive |
| B03 | − 3.8 | M3 | Strong |
| B13 | − 4.1 | M3 | Strong |
| B23 | − 5.8 | M3 | Very strong |
| Model | Rel. Prob.d |
|---|---|
| M0 | 0.022 |
| M1 | 0.013 |
| M2 | 0.002 |
| M3 | 0.963 |
Notes. (a) Bayes Factor Bab between models Ma and Mb. (b) Preferred model. (c) Interpretation according to Kass & Raftery (1995). (d)Relative probability P(D|Ma) / ∑ P(D|Mi).
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