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Table 5

Comparison to related flare prediction methods.

Reference ARs Images Flaresa Magnitude Window (h) Temporal TPR TNR TSS HSS

Ours 2124 122 060 3432–19 086b C1.0 2–24 No 0.81 0.70 0.51 0.39

1 N/Ac ?d 8498 C1.0 24 No 0.46e 0.99e 0.45f 0.54e
2 230 ?d 167 C1.0 24 No 0.33g 0.92g 0.25g 0.29g
3 870 48 344 8612 M1.0h 48 Yes 0.90i 0.88i 0.78f 0.66i
4 ?d 31 164 8510 M1.0h 48 Yes 0.85j 0.88j 0.73f 0.69j
5 1010 55 582 9801 M1.0h 48 Yes 0.95k 0.92k 0.87f 0.77k
6 46 2708 119 228b C1.0 6, 24 No 0.49l 0.99l 0.47l 0.51l
7 ?d 55 54 C1.0 24 No 0.75m 0.93m 0.68m 0.69m

Notes.

(a)

Number of data points associated with a flare; multiple data points may include the same flare within the time window.

(b)

The range of values is due to the range in time windows.

(c)

Magnetic features are considered rather than ARs.

(d)

This information was not readily apparent from the paper.

(e)

From Table 5 in Ahmed et al. (2013).

(f)

Computed from TPR and TNR.

(g)

Compiled from Figs. 3–6 in Yuan et al. (2010).

(h)

This magnitude specifies the total flare importance index.

(i)

From Fig. 5 in Huang et al. (2010).

(j)

From Table 5, BN_F column in Yu et al. (2010b).

(k)

From Table 5, MODWT_DB2_Red column in Yu et al. (2010a).

(l)

Computed from Table 4, 24N FLCT in Welsch et al. (2009).

(m)

Computed from Table 8, Model (7) in Song et al. (2009).

Reference. (1) Ahmed et al. (2013); (2) Yuan et al. (2010); (3) Huang et al. (2010); (4) Yu et al. (2010b); (5) Yu et al. (2010a); (6) Welsch et al. (2009); (7) Song et al. (2009).

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