Issue 
A&A
Volume 561, January 2014



Article Number  L12  
Number of page(s)  4  
Section  Letters  
DOI  https://doi.org/10.1051/00046361/201323020  
Published online  21 January 2014 
Possible structure in the GRB sky distribution at redshift two
^{1} National University of Public Service, 1093 Budapest, Hungary
email: horvath.istvan@uninke.hu
^{2} College of Charleston, Charleston, SC, USA
^{3} Eötvös University, 1056 Budapest, Hungary
Received: 9 November 2013
Accepted: 24 December 2013
Context. Research over the past three decades has revolutionized cosmology while supporting the standard cosmological model. However, the cosmological principle of Universal homogeneity and isotropy has always been in question, since structures as large as the survey size have always been found each time the survey size has increased. Until 2013, the largest known structure in our Universe was the Sloan Great Wall, which is more than 400 Mpc long located approximately one billion light years away.
Aims. Gammaray bursts (GRBs) are the most energetic explosions in the Universe. As they are associated with the stellar endpoints of massive stars and are found in and near distant galaxies, they are viable indicators of the dense part of the Universe containing normal matter. The spatial distribution of GRBs can thus help expose the large scale structure of the Universe.
Methods. As of July 2012, 283 GRB redshifts have been measured. Subdividing this sample into nine radial parts, each containing 31 GRBs, indicates that the GRB sample having 1.6 < z < 2.1 differs significantly from the others in that 14 of the 31 GRBs are concentrated in roughly 1/8 of the sky. A twodimensional KolmogorovSmirnov test, a nearestneighbour test, and a Bootstrap PointRadius Method explore the significance of this clustering.
Results. All tests used indicate that there is a statistically significant clustering of the GRB sample at 1.6 < z < 2.1. Furthermore, this angular excess cannot be entirely attributed to known selection biases, making its existence due to chance unlikely.
Conclusions. This huge structure lies ten times farther away than the Sloan Great Wall, at a distance of approximately ten billion light years. The size of the structure defined by these GRBs is about 2000–3000 Mpc, or more than six times the size of the largest known object in the Universe, the Sloan Great Wall.
Key words: largescale structure of Universe / gammaray burst: general / cosmology: observations / methods: statistical / methods: data analysis / distance scale
© ESO, 2014
1. Introduction
The cosmological origin of gammaray bursts (GRBs) is well established (e.g. Mészáros & Gehrels 2012). Assuming that the Universe exhibits largescale isotropy, the same isotropy is also expected for GRBs. The largescale angular isotropy of the sky distribution of GRBs has been well studied over the last few decades. Most of these studies have demonstrated that the sky distribution of GRBs is isotropic (Briggs et al. 1996; Tegmark et al. 1996; Balázs et al. 1998, 1999; Mészáros et al. 2000; Magliocchetti et al. 2003; Vavrek et al. 2008).
Some GRB subsamples appear to deviate significantly from isotropy, however. Balázs et al. (1998) reported that the angular distributions of short and long GRBs are different. Cline et al. (1999) found that the angular distributions of very short GRBs are anisotropic, and Magliocchetti et al. (2003) reported that the short GRB class in general deviates from angular isotropy. Mészáros et al. (2000) and Litvin et al. (2001) wrote that the angular distribution of intermediate duration GRBs is not isotropic.
In this work we examine the angular distribution of GRBs, and we combine this information with the burst radial distribution. Our goal is to search the GRB distribution for evidence of largescale Universal structure. Since all GRB classes (long, short, and intermediate) are tracers of galaxies and matter, our sample consists of all GRBs with known redshift. As of July 2012, the redshifts of 283 GRBs have been determined^{1}. This GRB sample occupies a huge volume, which can presumably provide valuable information about Universal largescale structure. To learn more about the properties of the Universe, we examine the Copernican principle (homogeneity, isotropy) for this sample.
2. GRB spatial distribution
By studying the angular distribution of GRBs as a function of distance, one can determine sample homogeneity as well as isotropy. This sample of GRBs can be subdivided by redshift, resulting in distance groupings for which angular information can also be obtained. Although sample size 283 GRBs limits our ability to set highangular resolution limits, it can be used for lowerresolution studies. We subdivide the sample into five, six, seven, eight, and nine different radial subgroups that have sufficient size to justify a statistical study.
Because of the heterogeneous collection of data in this sample, the sky exposure function is poorlycharacterized for these GRBs, making it difficult to test whether all bins have been sampled similarly. However, if one assumes similar sampling to first order, then one can test whether the two distributions are different or not. One common test for comparing two distributions is the KolmogorovSmirnov (KS) test. However, this test is designed to work with onedimensional data sets; it is hard to use it with data having more than one dimension (such as the angular position data described here), since there is no trivial way to rank in higher dimensions.
A very good summary of how to deal with this problem is given by Lopes et al. (2008). For 2D data, Peacock (1983) suggests that one should use all four possible orderings between ordered pairs to calculate the difference between the two distributions. Since the sky distribution of any object is composed of two orthogonal angular coordinates, we chose to use this method.
Subdividing the sample by z produces GRB groups whose members are at similar distances from us; in other words, their photons come from similar Universal ages. This is not true if any group originates from a wide range in z. Therefore, the dispersion in z needs to be small. However, our sample only contains 283 GRBs, so the best way to minimize z dispersion is to subdivide the data into a larger number of radial bins. For that reason we subdivide this sample into five, six, seven, eight, and nine parts.
Results of the 2D KS tests comparing the GRB groups.
When the five groups are compared, following the method discussed in the next section, there is a weak suggestion of anisotropy in one group. When the six groups are compared, there is little sign of any differences between the sky distributions of the groups. This is also the case for the samples involving seven and eight groups, but this is not the case when considering the sample containing nine groups. Therefore, we focus this analysis on the nine redshift groups containing GRBs at different redshifts. Each redshift group contains 31 GRBs. The minimum redshifts z_{min} that delineate the 9 groups are 0.00 (gr9), 0.41 (gr8), 0.72 (gr7), 0.93 (gr6), 1.25 (gr5), 1.60 (gr4), 2.10 (gr3), 2.73 (gr2), and 3.60 (gr1).
3. Twodimensional KolmogorovSmirnov tests
We used the Peacock methodology to compare the largest absolute differences between two cumulative angular distributions. Our samples are the angular separations between the members in each quadrant in each redshift group^{2}. When comparing two groups with 31 members there are 62 × 62 = 3844 division points, and so there are 4 × 3844 numbers in each group. For these 15 376 pairs, one has to find the largest of their differences. Comparisons of the nine groups to each other using the 2D KS test are shown in Table 1. Comparing the two farthest groups (gr1, gr2) the largest numerical difference is 9. Comparing the two nearest groups (gr8, gr9), the largest numerical difference is 11. For the moment, we do not know the precise significance of these numbers; however, we can compare them with one another. Table 1 contains the largest number in the quadrants for each comparison. Larger numbers indicate larger differences between the two groups being compared. Of the six largest numbers, five belong to group4. Out of the eight largest numbers, six belong to group4. In other words, six of the eight numbers (out of 36) measuring the largest differences between group pairs belong to group4.
One can calculate approximate probabilities for the different numbers using simulations. We ran 40 thousand simulations where 31 random points are compared with 31 other random points. The result contains the number 18 twentyeight times and numbers larger than 18 ten times, so the probability of having numbers larger than 17 is 0.095%. The probability of having numbers larger than 16 is p = 0.0029, of having numbers larger than 15 is p = 0.0094, and of having numbers larger than 14 is p = 0.0246. For a random distribution, this means that numbers larger than 14 correspond to 2σ deviations and numbers larger than 16 correspond to 3σ deviations. The probability of having numbers larger than 13 is p = 0.057, or 5.7%, which we do not find to be statistically significant.
As can be seen in Table 1, we have two 3σ angular anisotropy signatures. In both cases group4 is involved. We also have eight 2σ signatures. In six cases group4 is involved. However, we do not have a 3σ signature since we had 36 different pairs to compare. Among 36 different tests one expects 1.64 2σ signatures and no (expected number is 0.09) 3σ signatures. Except for cases involving group4 we find numbers similar to these random distributions (two 2σ signatures and no 3σ signatures). However the 36 comparisons are not independent since we have only nine groups to compare.
4. Nearestneighbour statistics
One can also look for anisotropies using nearestneighbour statistics. Assuming again that the sky exposure is independent of z, one can compare the distributions with one another. Since we are not focusing on close pair correlations we should calculate not only the nearestneighbour distances, but also the second, third, etc., nearest neighbour distances. For all nine groups we calculated the kth (k = 1, 2, ..., 30) nearest neighbour distance distributions. Since these are onedimensional distributions, a simple KolmogorovSmirnov test can be used to determine significances. For eight groups we do not find significant deviation, but a KS test for group4 shows significant deviations from angular isotropy starting with the sixthnearest neighbour pairs (Fig. 1, top, shows the 10thneighbour distributions).
Fig. 1 Top: tenthneighbour distribution for the first four groups, red is group4. Bottom: KS neighbour probabilities for group4 (red) and group5 (blue). 

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The KS probabilities also can be seen in Fig. 1. For comparison we also plot the group5 probabilities. One can see that 21 consecutive probabilities in group4 reach the 2σ limit and 9 consecutive comparisons reach the 3σ limit. Of course this does not mean a 27σ limit, because the comparisons are not independent. One can calculate bimodal probabilities. For example 14 out of the 31 GRBs in this redshift band are concentrated in approximately 1/8 of the sky (Fig. 3). The binomial probability of finding this a deviation is p = 0.0000055.
5. Bootstrap pointradius method
Using a bootstrap pointradius method, we calculated significances that the GRB distribution with 1.6 ≤ z ≤ 2.1 is anisotropic assuming that the sky exposure is essentially independent of z. We chose 31 GRBs from the observed data set and compared the sky distribution of this subsample with the sky distribution of 31 GRBs having 1.6 ≤ z ≤ 2.1.
To study the selected bursts in 2D, we selected a random location on the celestial sphere and find how many of the 31 points lie within a circle of predefined angular radius, for example, within 10°. We built statistics for this test by repeating the process a large number of times (ten thousand). From the ten thousand Monte Carlo runs we selected the largest number of bursts found within the angular circle.
This analysis can be performed with the suspicious 31 GRB positions and also with 31 randomly chosen GRB locations from the observed data. There are some angular radii for which the maximum with the 31 GRBs with 1.6 ≤ z ≤ 2.1 is quite significant. We repeated the process with 31 different randomly chosen burst positions, and we repeated the experiment 4000 times in order to understand the statistical variations of this subsample. We also performed the same measurement using angular circles of different radii. The frequencies are shown in Fig. 2.
Fig. 2 Results of the MonteCarlo bootstrap pointradius method. The horizontal coordinate is the area of the circle in the sky relative to the whole sky (4π). The vertical coordinate is the logarithm of the frequency found from the 4000 runs. The two lines show the 2σ and the 3σ deviations. 

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Figure 2 clearly shows that the 15–25% of the sky identified for 1.6 ≤ z ≤ 2.1 contains significantly more GRBs than similar circles at other GRB redshifts. When the area is chosen to be 0.1125 × 4π, 14 GRBs out of the 31 lie inside the circle. When the area is chosen to be 0.2125 × 4π, 19 GRBs out of the 31 lie inside the circle. When the area is chosen to be 0.225 × 4π, 20 GRBs out of the 31 lie inside the circle. In this last case only 7 out of the 4000 bootstrap cases had 20 or more GRBs inside the circle. This result is, therefore, a statistically significant (p = 0.0018) deviation (the binomial probability for this being random is less than 10^{6}).
6. Sky exposure effects
It is important to verify that sampling biases have not contributed to the previously mentioned angular anisotropies. There are two principle causes of angular sampling biases: 1) GRB detectors often favour triggering on GRBs in some angular directions over others (sky exposure) and 2) GRB redshift measurements, made in the visual/infrared, are inhibited by angularlydependent Galactic extinction (e.g. Hakkila et al. 1997).
Fig. 3 Sky distribution of 283 GRBs with redshift in Galactic coordinates (blue squares), overlaid by modelled angular biases. The Galactic equator region (lightly mottled) is undersampled because of Galactic extinction effects on redshift measurements. The ecliptic polar regions (pink mottled) are oversampled relative to ecliptic equator regions because of Swift’s sky exposure. The anisotropic distribution of the 31 GRBs at 1.6 ≤ z ≤ 2.1 (red crosses) is largely unaffected by these biases; sampling biases have not favoured their detection. 

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Anisotropic sampling can be produced when a pointed spacecraft observes some sky directions more often than others, or when the field of view is blocked (e.g. from Earth occultation, avoidance of the Sun to protect instrumentation, or trigger disabling such as over the South Atlantic Anomaly). Each GRB instrument samples the sky differently, which makes the summed sky exposure difficult to identify for our heterogeneous GRB sample that has been observed by many instruments since the late 1990s. However, 214 of the 283 GRBs in our sample (75.6%) have been observed by Swift, as have 23 of the 31 GRBs in group4 (74.2%). Thus, we assume to firstorder that Swift’s sky exposure is a reasonable approximation of the sky exposure of the entire burst sample. Swift’s sky exposure has recently been published (Baumgartner et al. 2013); its primary characteristic is that the regions near the ecliptic poles ( β  ≥ 45°, where β is the ecliptic latitude) have been observed roughly 1.83 times more frequently than the region surrounding the ecliptic equator.
Extinction due to dust from the Milky Way disk causes another angularlydependent sampling bias. GRBs included in our sample have not merely been detected, but have also had their redshifts measured. Redshift measurements involve visual (and/or infrared) spectral observations made during the burst’s afterglow phase. Extinction can reduce afterglow brightness by several magnitudes or more, making spectral line measurements more difficult. Close to the Galactic plane, the afterglow may not even be detected. The details of the process by which redshift measurements are affected are difficult to model, as they depend on the intrinsic luminosity and decay rate of the afterglow, the telescope and spectrograph used, the redshift of the burst, the observing conditions at the time of detection, and of course the Galactic latitude and longitude of the burst.
Our firstorder model of angular biasing in the sample assumes that GRB detection rates are enhanced by a factor of 1.83 at high ecliptic latitudes (those with  β  ≥ 45°) compared to those near the ecliptic equator. Second, we account for the spottiness of redshift observations near the Galactic plane by assuming that the fraction of low Galactic latitude (b < 20°) GRBs in group4 is the same as that found in the other groups (12.9%), and that this value is a reasonable representation of the true redshift measurement rate. These assumptions seems to be reasonable for the total sample of 283 GRBs. The resulting skymap is shown in Fig. 3.
We test the hypothesis that Swift’s sky exposure and Galactic extinction might be responsible for the group4 burst clustering by examining the predicted numbers of GRBs in the bestsampled regions near the ecliptic poles (b ≥ 20° and  β  ≥ 45°) compared to those in the wellsampled regions near the ecliptic equator (b ≥ 20° and  β  < 45°) and to those in the poorestsampled region (b < 20°).
The expected numbers of GRBs in each group are 5.41 (best, north), 5.41 (best, south), 8.09 (good, north), 8.09 (good, south), and 4.00 (poor), whereas the actual counts are 11 (best, north), 1 (best, south), 8 (good, north), 6 (good, south), and 6 (poor). This results in a χ^{2} probability of p = 0.025 that this is due to chance. This probability indicates that more GRBs were detected in the wellsampled northern region and fewer were detected in the wellsampled southern region than were expected owing to sky exposure and extinction effects. The 2.5% probability refers only to the fact that extinction and exposure effects cannot explain the group4 anisotropy and do not describe the strong clustering of GRBs within the wellsampled northern region. Finally, we note that the southern depletion is not surprising if the northern clustering is real: if the cluster is real, then our choice of requiring equal GRB counts per radial bin allows us to detect group4 bursts in the cluster at the cost of detecting them elsewhere.
7. Summary and conclusion
Here we report the discovery of a possible largescale Universal structure at a distance of approximately ten billion light years (redshift z ≈ 2). The 2D KS test shows a 3σ deviation. The bootstrap pointradius method confirms this significance. The nearestneighbour statistics also reach the 3σ level several times. Sampling biases cannot explain the clustering of GRBs at this redshift.
Even though it is widely accepted, the cosmological principle of Universal homogeneity and isotropy has always been questioned, since structures as large as the survey size have been consistently found as the survey size has increased. In the
late 1980s Geller & Huchra (1989) mapped the Universe to z ≈ 0.03 and found a 200 Mpc size object, which they called the Great Wall. In 2005 an object twice this size was reported and was named the Sloan Great Wall (Gott et al. 2005). Recently, Clowes et al. (2013) have found a large quasar group with a length of 1000 Mpc. In this study we have found a potential structure, mapped by GRBs, of about 2000–3000 Mpc size. It is interesting to note that the universal star formation, and thus also the GRB rate, peaked between redshifts 1.6 ≤ z ≤ 2.1 (Hayes et al. 2010). Since GRBs are a luminous tracer of matter, they should be even better tracers at these distances, where they are more common. In other words, if one wants to search for evidence of the largest clumps of matter in the universe using GRBs (or any luminosity indicator that correlates with the star formation rate), then one should search in this redshift range.
This cluster is not apparent in the larger angular distribution of all detected GRBs. This is not surprising since the cluster occupies a small radial region coupled with a large angular one. In the coming years, additional GRB detection by Swift and new missions such as SVOM, UFFO, and CALET, coupled with successful followup redshift measurements, should provide the statistics to confirm or disprove this discovery.
Acknowledgments
This research was supported by OTKA grant K77795 and by NASA ADAP grant NNX09AD03G. The authors thank the referee for improving the manuscript. Discussions with L.G. Balázs are also acknowledged.
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All Tables
All Figures
Fig. 1 Top: tenthneighbour distribution for the first four groups, red is group4. Bottom: KS neighbour probabilities for group4 (red) and group5 (blue). 

Open with DEXTER  
In the text 
Fig. 2 Results of the MonteCarlo bootstrap pointradius method. The horizontal coordinate is the area of the circle in the sky relative to the whole sky (4π). The vertical coordinate is the logarithm of the frequency found from the 4000 runs. The two lines show the 2σ and the 3σ deviations. 

Open with DEXTER  
In the text 
Fig. 3 Sky distribution of 283 GRBs with redshift in Galactic coordinates (blue squares), overlaid by modelled angular biases. The Galactic equator region (lightly mottled) is undersampled because of Galactic extinction effects on redshift measurements. The ecliptic polar regions (pink mottled) are oversampled relative to ecliptic equator regions because of Swift’s sky exposure. The anisotropic distribution of the 31 GRBs at 1.6 ≤ z ≤ 2.1 (red crosses) is largely unaffected by these biases; sampling biases have not favoured their detection. 

Open with DEXTER  
In the text 
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