Table 3
Relative posterior probabilities and log-Bayes factors of models ℳk with k Keplerian signals given the combined HARPS-TERRA, HIRES, and PFS RV data of GJ 667C.
| k | P(ℳk|d) | Δ | log P(d|ℳk) | P [days] | ID |
|
|
|||||
| 0 | 2.7 × 10-85 | – | –602.1 | – | |
| 1 | 3.4 × 10-48 | 1.3 × 1037 | –516.0 | 7.2 | |
| 2 | 1.3 × 10-35 | 3.9 × 1012 | –486.3 | 91 | |
| 3 | 8.9 × 10-18 | 6.7 × 1017 | –444.5 | 28 | |
| 4 | 1.9 × 10-14 | 2.1 × 103 | –436.2 | 53 | |
| 4 | 1.2 × 10-14 | 1.3 × 103 | –436.7 | 62 | |
| 5 | 1.0 × 10-7 | 5.5 × 106 | –420.0 | 39, 53 | |
| 5 | 1.0 × 10-8 | 5.3 × 105 | –422.3 | 39, 62 | |
| 6 | 4.1 × 10-3 | 4.0 × 104 | –408.7 | 39, 53, 256 | |
| 6 | 4.1 × 10-4 | 4.0 × 103 | –411.0 | 39, 62, 256 | |
| 7 | 0.057 | 14 | –405.4 | 17, 39, 53, 256 | |
| 7 | 0.939 | 230 | –402.6 | 17, 39, 62, 256 | |
Notes.Factor Δ indicates how much the probability increases with respect to the best model with one less Keplerian and P denotes the MAP period estimate of the signal added to the solution when increasing k. Only the highest probability sequence is shown here (reference solution). A complete table with alternative solutions corresponding to local probability maxima is given in Appendix B.2.
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