Table B.1
Relative posterior probabilities and log-Bayes factors of models ℳk with k Keplerian signals derived from the combined HARPS-CCF, HIRES, and PFS RV data on the left and HARPS-TERRA HIRES, PFS on the right.
| HARPS-CCF, PFS, HIRES | HARPS-TERRA, PFS, HIRES | |||||||
|
|
||||||||
| k | P(ℳk|d) | Δ | log P(d|ℳk) | Ps [days] | P(ℳk|d) | Δ | log P(d|ℳk) | Ps [days] |
|
|
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| 0 | 2.2 × 10-74 | – | –629.1 | – | 2.7 × 10-85 | – | –602.1 | – |
| 1 | 2.4 × 10-40 | 1.1 × 1034 | –550.0 | 7.2 | 3.4 × 10-48 | 1.3 × 1037 | –516.0 | 7.2 |
| 2 | 1.3 × 10-30 | 5.6 × 109 | –526.9 | 28 | 1.3 × 10-35 | 3.9 × 1012 | –486.3 | 91 |
| 3 | 8.7 × 10-21 | 6.5 × 109 | –503.6 | 91 | 8.9 × 10-18 | 6.7 × 1017 | –444.5 | 28 |
| 4 | 5.1 × 10-17 | 5.9 × 103 | –494.2 | 39 | 1.5 × 10-14 | 1.7 × 103 | –436.4 | 39 |
| 4 | 1.0 × 10-14 | 1.2 × 106 | –488.9 | 53 | 1.9 × 10-14 | 2.1 × 103 | –436.2 | 53 |
| 4 | 2.0 × 10-17 | 2.3 × 103 | –495.2 | 62 | 1.2 × 10-14 | 1.3 × 103 | –436.7 | 62 |
| 5 | 8.0 × 10-9 | 7.6 × 105 | –474.7 | 39, 53 | 1.0 × 10-7 | 5.5 × 106 | –420.0 | 39, 53 |
| 5 | 5.4 × 10-12 | 5.2 × 102 | –482.0 | 39, 62 | 1.0 × 10-8 | 5.3 × 105 | –422.3 | 39, 62 |
| 6 | 3.4 × 10-4 | 4.3 × 104 | –463.3 | 39, 53, 256 | 4.1 × 10-3 | 4.0 × 104 | –408.7 | 39, 53, 256 |
| 6 | 1.3 × 10-7 | 16 | –471.2 | 39, 62, 256 | 4.1 × 10-4 | 4.0 × 103 | –411.0 | 39, 62, 256 |
| 7 | 0.998 | 2.9 × 103 | –454.6 | 17, 39, 53, 256 | 0.057 | 14 | –405.4 | 17, 39, 53, 256 |
| 7 | 1.5 × 10-3 | 4.3 | –461.2 | 17, 39, 62, 256 | 0.939 | 230 | –402.6 | 17, 39, 62, 256 |
Notes.Factor Δ indicates how much the probability increases with respect to the best model with one less Keplerian signal. Ps denotes the MAP period estimate of the signal added to the solution when increasing the number k. For k = 4, 5, 6, and 7, we denote all the signals on top of the three most significant ones at 7.2, 28, and 91 days because the 53 and 62 day periods are each other’s yearly aliases and the relative significance of these two and the signal with a period of 39 days are rather similar.
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