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Fig. 3.

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Modeling the November 3–5, 2021, event with the EDBM. First panel from top: Extra-acceleration term predicted by the EDBM (cyan line) added to the acceleration terms predicted by the DBM at SolO (orange line) and Wind (green line) to obtain the red and purple lines that are compared to the experimental average acceleration from SolO to Wind (brown line). Second panel: Zoom on the experimental average and predicted accelerations. Third panel: Mean acceleration and corresponding standard deviation provided by the EDBM for ten random realizations of the initial and final speeds (blue and orange lines, respectively). Fourth panel: Absolute error, ε = |fr(a)|, from Eq. (15) at Wind for the EDBM solutions, a, obtained as in the topmost panel using Eq. (14).

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