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Table 2.

Summary of our adopted observational constraints and of the parameter values that are used in building the likelihood, as described in Section 2.3.

Constraint Functional form Values
Milky Way filtered mass ln(M(xobs, w)) ∼ 𝒩(ln(Mobs),σrel2) xobs = ( − 3.9, −6.9, −1.8) kpc, w = 100 kpc, Mobs = 1.085 × 1012 M, σ rel = 0 . 05 2 + 0 . 1291 2 $ \sigma_\text{rel} = \sqrt{0.05^2+0.1291^2} $
Milky Way centre of mass ΔxCoM(xobs)∼𝒩(0, Σ = Σx,res) Σ x,res = ( 30 kpc ) 2 1 $ {{\boldsymbol{\Sigma}}}_\text{x,res} = ({30}\,\mathrm{kpc})^2 {{{\mathbb{1}}}} $

M31 filtered mass ln(M(xobs, w)) ∼ 𝒩(ln(Mobs),σrel2) xobs = (780, 0, 0) kpc, w = 100 kpc, Mobs = 1.288 × 1012 M, σ rel = 0 . 05 2 + 0 . 167 2 $ \sigma_\text{rel} = \sqrt{0.05^2+0.167^2} $
M31 centre of mass ΔxCoM(xobs)∼𝒩(0, Σ = Σx,res) Σ x,res = ( 30 kpc ) 2 1 $ {{\boldsymbol{\Sigma}}}_\text{x,res} = ({30}\,\mathrm{kpc})^2 {{{\mathbb{1}}}} $

M31-MW velocity Equation (20) Δ v / ( km s 1 ) = ( 114.7 , 39.8 , 59.8 ) , Σ meas / ( km s 1 ) 2 = ( 0 . 9 2 , 39 . 2 2 , 30 . 2 2 ) 1 , Σ v,res = ( 10 km s 1 ) 2 1 $ \Delta {{\boldsymbol{v}}}/(\mathrm{km}\,\mathrm{s}^{-1}) = (-114.7, 39.8, -59.8), {{\boldsymbol{\Sigma}}}_\text{meas}/(\mathrm{km}\,\mathrm{s}^{-1})^2 = (0.9^2,39.2^2,30.2^2){{{\mathbb{1}}}}, {{\boldsymbol{\Sigma}}}_\text{v,res}=({10}\,\mathrm{km}\,\mathrm{s}^{-1})^2{{{\mathbb{1}}}} $

Local Hubble flow Equation (21) 31 galaxies, σint = 35 km s−1, w = 250 kpc ⋅ (d/Mpc)

Notes. The final likelihood also assumes an isotropic Gaussian uncertainty with dispersion 10 km s−1 per component in the reference frame corresponding to the velocity of the MW halo (see Section 2.3.6).

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