Fig. 1

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Posterior distribution function from Eq. (2) as a function of log S with a confidence interval of CL = 0.9 (90%). Both curves correspond to the posterior distribution of an X-ray observation with N = 5 observed counts but different background levels of B = 2 (blue solid curve) and B = 4 counts (orange dashed curve). The shaded area under each curve illustrates the cumulative distribution from Eq. (4) up to 90% of the cumulative probability. The vertical lines correspond to the onesided upper limit (UL) calculated from Eq. (5). We find UL5,2 = 7.30 and UL5,4 = 5.72 counts.
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