Fig. D.1.

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Flares and posterior samples of the orbiting hot-spot model. This figure is similar to Figure 7, but shows the fits to all 24 flares. The models shown are not the best fit but rather the average of 100 models drawn from the posterior. This illustrates features of the multimodal posteriors. The light yellow line shows the averaged relativistic kernel, the dark brown shows the averaged Gaussian flare kernel, the dark green shows the composite model without the Gaussian process component, and the light green shows the full model. The annotated values of ϕ and r0 are median posterior values.
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