Table 3
Bayesian log-evidence for GJ 251 for different models.
| Model | P (d) |  |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
| CARMENES | |||
| 0p | … | − 545.4 ± 0.1 | 0 |
| 1p | 14.2 | − 525.8 ± 0.2 | 19.6 |
| 2p | 14.2, 1.7 | − 528.7 ± 0.2 | 16.7 |
| 2p | 14.2, 656.0 | − 524.5 ± 0.2 | 20.9 |
| 1p + GP | 14.2 | − 492.2 ± 0.1 | 53.2 |
| HIRES | |||
| 0p | … | − 227.3 ± 0.1 | 0 |
| 1p | 14.2 | − 222.1 ± 0.1 | 5.2 |
| 2p | 14.2, 1.7 | − 222.2 ± 0.2 | 5.1 |
| 2p | 14.2, 601.9 | − 211.4 ± 0.2 | 15.9 |
| 1p + uGP | 14.2 | − 213.3 ± 0.1 | 14.0 |
| CARMENES + HIRES | |||
| 0p | … | − 772.0 ± 0.2 | 0 |
| 1p | 14.2 | − 747.2 ± 0.2 | 24.8 |
| 1cp | 14.2 | − 744.5 ± 0.2 | 27.5 |
| 2p | 14.2, 1.7 | − 748.9 ± 0.2 | 23.1 |
| 2p | 14.2, 629.2 | − 743.5 ± 0.2 | 28.5 |
| GP | … | − 743.3 ± 0.2 | 28.9 |
| 2p + GP | 1.4, 14.2 | − 708.9 ± 0.4 | 63.1 |
| 2p + GP | 14.2, 667.1 | − 707.1 ± 0.3 | 64.9 |
| 1p + uGP | 14.2 | − 706.2 ± 0.1 | 65.8 |
| 1p + GP | 14.2 | − 704.8 ± 0.2 | 67.2 |
| 1cp + GP | 14.2 | − 703.8 ± 0.3 | 68.2 |
Notes. Planetary models based on CARMENES, HIRES, and combined CARMENES + HIRES RV data. 0p: 0 planets, 1p: 1 planet, 1cp: 1 planet on a circular orbit (e = 0), 2p: 2 planets. GP and uGP: additional constrained and unconstrained Gaussian processes, respectively. Orbital periods rounded to one decimal.
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