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Fig. 1

image

Left column: probability of the injected periodic signal at Pc = 8.962 days existing in synthetic RV time-series, as a function of the injected semi-amplitude Kc with time-sampling identical to the published HARPS WF (C17a), the published CARMENES WF (S18), or their joint WF. Three sets of synthetic RV time-series are considered and contain K2-18c only (top row), K2-18b and c (middle row), or both planets plus a GP correlated noise model of stellar activity(bottom row). The shaded vertical region highlights the MAP and 1σ measured value of Kc = 4.63 ± 0.72 m s−1 from C17a. Right column: probability of the injected periodic signal at Pc existing in synthetic RV time-series, with fixed Kc = 4.63 m s−1, as a function of the number of RV measurements.

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