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Table 1

Probability that a source configuration leads to a 3σ fluctuation above and below the flux measured by AMS02 and PAMELA.

Models PAMELA AMS02

Model 50 GeV 1 TeV 50 GeV 1 TeV
p(Ψ > ⟨ Ψ ⟩ + 3σ) p(Ψ > ⟨ Ψ ⟩ + 3σ) p(Ψ > ⟨ Ψ ⟩ + 3σ) p(Ψ > ⟨ Ψ ⟩ + 3σ)
p(Ψ < ⟨ Ψ ⟩ −3σ) p(Ψ < ⟨ Ψ ⟩ −3σ) p(Ψ < ⟨ Ψ ⟩ −3σ) p(Ψ < ⟨ Ψ ⟩ −3σ)

MIN 0.15 0.083 0.28 0.26
0.13 <10-6 0.63 0.51

MED 0.047 0.014 0.16 0.12
<10-6 <10-6 0.26 0.0025

MAX 0.009 0.0018 0.045 0.016
<10-6 <10-6 <10-6 <10-6

Notes. The calculation is made for the three benchmark propagation models MIN, MED, and MAX, and for the two energies 50 GeV and 1 TeV.

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