Issue |
A&A
Volume 561, January 2014
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|
---|---|---|
Article Number | A37 | |
Number of page(s) | 10 | |
Section | Catalogs and data | |
DOI | https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/201322579 | |
Published online | 23 December 2013 |
Candidate stellar occultations by Centaurs and trans-Neptunian objects up to 2014⋆,⋆⋆,⋆⋆⋆,⋆⋆⋆⋆
1 Observatório Nacional/MCTI, R. General José Cristino 77, CEP 20921-400 Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
e-mail:
camargo@linea.gov.br
2 Observatório do Valongo/UFRJ, Ladeira do Pedro Antônio 43, CEP 20080-090 Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
e-mail:
massaf@astro.ufrj.br
3 Observatoire de Paris-Meudon/LESIA, 5 place Jules Janssen, 92195 Meudon, France
4 Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Institut Universitaire de France, Paris, France
e-mail:
bruno.sicardy@obspm.fr
Received: 31 August 2013
Accepted: 29 October 2013
Context. We study trans-Neptunian objects (TNOs) from stellar occultations.
Aims. We predict stellar occultations from 2012.5 to the end of 2014 by 5 Centaurs and 34 TNOs.
Methods. These predictions were achieved in two ways: first, we built catalogues with precise astrometric positions of the stellar content around the paths on the sky of these targets, as seen by a ground-based observer; second, the observed positions of the targets were determined with the help of these same catalogues so that we could improve their ephemerides and the reliability of the predictions. The reference system is the International Celestial Reference System (ICRS) as realised by the Fourth US Naval Observatory CCD Astrograph Catalog (UCAC4). All the sky paths as well as the selected targets were observed from Oct. 2011 to May 2013 with the ESO/MPG 2.2 m telescope equipped with the Wide Field Imager (WFI). All astrometric results were obtained with the platform for reduction of astronomical images automatically (PRAIA) after correcting the images for overscan, bias, and flatfield.
Results. The catalogues with the stellar content around the sky path of each selected target are complete down to magnitude R = 19 and have an average positional accuracy of about 50 milliarcseconds. This same average accuracy also holds for the observed positions of the targets. In the catalogues from the sky paths, stellar proper motions for non-UCAC4 objects were derived from the combination of the current epoch WFI observations with either the 2MASS or the USNO-B1 catalogues. The offsets between the observed and (JPL) ephemeris positions of the targets frequently reach absolute values of some hundreds of milliarcseconds.
Conclusions. We present here stellar occultation predictions for the selected 5 Centaurs and 34 TNOs from 2012.5 to the end of 2014. This work is also an extension of two previous prediction works by us, the first one for Pluto, Charon, Nix, and Hydra, and the second for ten other large TNOs. The use of catalogues from the observations of the sky paths in the astrometry of the TNOs and Centaurs enhanced the coherence between their positions and those of the respective occulted candidate stars. New observations of these TNOs and Centaurs are continuously used to redetermine their ephemerides.
Key words: astrometry / occultations / Kuiper belt: general
Based on observations made at ESO-La Silla, within runs 088.C-0434(A), 089.C-0356(A), 090.C-0118(A) and 091.C-0454(A).
Full Tables of predictions for stellar occultations for all TNOs/Centaurs studied here for 2012.5 to the end of 2014 and the respective catalogues with positions and proper motions from the stellar content of the sky paths of each TNO/Centaur are only available at the CDS via anonymous ftp to cdsarc.u-strasbg.fr (130.79.128.5) or via http://cdsarc.u-strasbg.fr/viz-bin/qcat?J/A+A/561/A37
All Prediction maps along with more detailed information are readily available at http://www.lesia.obspm.fr/perso/bruno-sicardy/
Associated researcher at the Observatoire de Paris/IMCCE, 77 av. Denfert-Rochereau, 75014 Paris, France.
Associated researcher at the Observatoire de Paris/SYRTE, 77 av. Denfert-Rochereau, 75014 Paris, France.
© ESO, 2013
1. Introduction
Trans-Neptunian objects (TNOs) constitute a population of small planetary bodies orbiting beyond Neptune, in a vast region (the Kuiper belt) extending to the outskirts of our solar system. They are observed as far as 30–100 AU from the Sun, so that most of the known TNOs are very faint (R = 19–22 mag) objects. As of today, more than 1200 such icy bodies have been detected beyond Neptune.
The primordial proto-planetary disk from which the planets emerged exhibits a complex dynamical history (Gladman et al. 2008) that involves gravitational stirring from the giant planets during the early ages of the solar system (Levison & Morbidelli 2003). Since TNOs are thought to be relatively unaltered relics of this disk, they provide invaluable information about the history and evolution of the outer solar system.
Centaurs are a transient population between TNOs and Jupiter-family comets, orbiting in a region between Jupiter and Neptune. Currently, almost 400 of them are known and it is generally accepted that they share a common origin with the Kuiper belt objects. Since Centaurs are also typically brighter than the TNOs, they serve as a proxy from which it is possible to infer general properties on these more distant objects (Fernández et al. 2002).
Although a general picture of the TNO belt slowly emerges, many questions have remained unanswered. The size distribution of the TNOs remains uncertain, and knowledge of basic information about their surface properties, presence of atmosphere, bulk density, and internal structure is poor or even nonexistent. Yet these physical parameters are essential for assessing the present mass of the belt and retrieving its history. TNOs can be observed in visible bands to derive spectro-photometric properties and rotational light curves. They can also be detected in the IR (NASA/Spitzer, ESA/Herschel space telescopes), which provides an estimate of their size by combining their visible brightness and thermal emission. Results are model-dependent, however, and accuracies for their equivalent diameter of 10–20% at best can be obtained (Stansberry et al. 2008; Müller et al. 2009).
In contrast, stellar occultations are much more accurate, since kilometric accuracies can be achieved (see e.g. Sicardy et al. 2011; Ortiz et al. 2012) in the determination of their dimensions. This accuracy is much better than that obtained by other model-dependent, indirect methods. Not only sizes, but also shapes are derived from stellar occultations. Shapes are in turn related to density, elongation, and rotation to large TNOs (Braga-Ribas et al. 2013). This eventually yields a better estimate of size distribution and total mass of the material present beyond Neptune. Retrieving accurate sizes is also important as it allows us to derive accurate values for the albedos, an important parameter that constrains the nature of the surfaces (e.g. fresh bright ice vs. space-weathered dark, cometary-like material, see Elliot et al. 2010). Sizes also provide essential information on densities for TNOs with satellites (e.g. Pluto, Eris), since the masses can be derived from Kepler’s laws. Densities, in turn, are an important parameter to constrain internal composition and structure of those bodies (e.g. rock/ice ratio). Another outstanding advantage of stellar occultations is the possibility of detecting very tenuous atmospheres around some of these bodies, down to surface pressure of a few nanobars, as reported for instance by Widemann et al. (2009), Sicardy et al. (2011), and Braga-Ribas et al. (2013). This is four orders of magnitudes lower than Pluto’s surface pressure (about 10 μbar). Note that it is likely that the largest bodies (such as Eris, Haumea, or Makemake) are capable of retaining volatiles on their surfaces (Brown et al. 2011), which may lead to the presence of tenuous atmospheres that cannot be detected from other ground-based observations.
The fundamental difficulty associated with stellar occultations by TNOs is predicting them. The diameters of most TNOs are smaller than 50 milliarcseconds (mas) on the sky. This means that absolute astrometric accuracies of at least 50 mas on both the star position and the TNO ephemeris must be achieved to provide reasonable chances of detection. The most straightfoward approach to select possible occultations is by using the star positions listed in an astrometric catalogue, then carry out follow-up observations to improve the star position and pin down the shadow path after applying corrections to the TNO ephemeris.
This paper is a continuation of the work presented by Assafin et al. (2010, 2012), to which we add occultation predictions and astrometric catalogues with the stellar contents from the sky paths of 5 Centaurs and 34 TNOs – for brevity, we refer to them simply as TNOs throughout. In Sect. 2, we present the observational design of this work and the observations themselves. In Sect. 3, we present the data reduction. Section 4 contains results and the respective analysis. In Sect. 5, we discuss the correction to the ephemerides. Section 6 presents the procedure for predicting the occultations. Comments and conclusions are given in Sect. 7. Throughout this paper, the notation α ∗ stands for α·cosδ.
2. Observational design and respective observations – The ESO2p2/WFI TNO program
![]() |
Fig. 1 Covering of the sky path of TNO (54598) Bienor from 2012 June 1 to 2014 Dec. 31. The blue (dashed) line represents the path of the TNO as seen by a ground-based observer. The region within the red (dotted) squares represent the area covered by the WFI mosaic. The uncovered segments of the path are those where the Sun-observer-target angle is smaller than 30°. The timeline starting point of the path is the bottom-left extremity of the blue (dashed) line. In this timeline, the frames corresponding to year 2013 start at RA about 0.9 h and end at RA about 1.2 h. |
Observations designed to predict stellar occultations by TNOs frequently present two basic steps: first, the future sky path of a given TNO as seen by a ground-based observer is observed and an astrometric catalogue with positions and proper motions from the respective stellar content is produced; second, the TNO itself is observed so that we can determine a correction to its ephemeris.
TNOs for which candidate stellar occultations for the period from 2012 Jun. 1st to 2014 Dec. 31st were predicted.
Covering the sky path for a number of TNOs may be time-consuming from the observational point of view so that wide-field imagers, such as the Wide Field Imager (Baade et al. 1999) at the ESO/MPG 2.2 m Telescope (hereafter 2p2), are suitable for such a task. Figure 1 shows the observations to cover the sky path of (54598) Bienor. The clear overlap between images is necessary for the global reduction procedure (Sect. 3). Exposure times to all frames taken in the context to cover TNO sky paths were typically 30 s with the 2p2 standard broad-band R filter (filter number 844, λcentral = 651.725 nm, FWHM = 162.184 nm). The WFI is a mosaic of 8 (7′.5 × 15′) CCDs (largest dimension along declination), so that the mosaic covers an area of about 30′ × 30′ on the sky. Starting from the top leftmost CCD, they are numbered clockwise from 1 to 8.
The direct observations of the TNOs, aiming at an initial correction for their respective ephemerides and also to feed orbital compution procedures, were made on the basis of dither-offset-dither. This was performed so that the targets were always placed at some few arcminutes from the optical axis of the telescope. More specifically, a number of dithered images were taken with the target in the top right portion of CCD#7 and, after an offset of some few arcminutes, another number of dithered images were taken with the target now in the bottom-left portion of CCD#3. Exposure times were magnitude dependent and varied from 35 to 300 s, where 200 s was a typical figure. Again, the standard broad-band R filter was used. Table 1 lists all target names along with some physical and observational parameters. These targets were chosen by taking into consideration their scientific interest, diameter size (larger diameters increase the occultation probability), position on the sky (proximity to the Galactic plane increases the occultation probability), and magnitude (too faint TNOs are out of reach for astrometry/photometry follow-up on small telescopes).
All the observations with the ESO/MPG 2p2+WFI were made in four consecutive runs (see Table 2), from 2011 to 2013, the seeing was in the range from to
most of the time (≥60%) for all runs. As a general rule, the sky paths of the TNOs were covered during the first two runs (these paths were the most critical part of this work), whereas the direct observations of these bodies, aiming at obtaining an initial correction for their ephemerides, were made during the last two runs. Table 3 shows the number of mosaic frames used to cover the sky paths of the TNOs.
Observational runs.
Each mosaic, after being corrected for overscan, bias and flatfield (see next section), occupies a space of 256MB. Therefore, from Table 3, one sees that about 550GB of images were processed for astrometry and photometry.
3. Data reduction
The data reduction followed the same steps as described in Assafin et al. (2010, 2012), based on IRAF (Tody 1993) plus esowfi (Jones, H. and Valdes 2000) and mscred (Valdes 1998) tasks (corrections for overscan, bias, flatfield) and PRAIA (Assafin et al. 2011) (field distortion pattern, astrometry and photometry). The few differences between the reduction made here with respect to the two previous works are enumerated below.
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1.
No bad-pixel mask was applied. These masks are insufficient tofix the astrometry of objects sampled on bad pixels but are goodenough to cheat the eyes when examining an image to search forpossible sources of a problematic point spread function (PSF)fitting.
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2.
All individual CCDs of each mosaic frame aiming at covering the sky paths of the TNOs had the UCAC4 (Zacharias et al. 2013) as reference for astrometry instead of the UCAC2 (Zacharias et al. 2004).
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3.
All individual CCD reduction of each mosaic aiming at the determination of positions for the TNOs had as reference for astrometry the catalogues obtained from the covering of the sky path of the respective TNOs. These catalogues include proper motion determination, as we explain below.
As in Assafin et al. (2010, 2012), a global solution provided the final set of positions to the stellar content in each yearly-covered sky path as well as to the direct observations of the TNOs. A global solution, by its nature, first determines a set of instrumental positions that must be then aligned to a given reference frame to provide the final set of positions. This instrumental system was determined through the results from the individual CCD reduction mentioned in item 3. Then, this instrumental system was aligned with the UCAC4. This is said to emphasize that all our positions are in the International Celestial Reference System (ICRS; Arias et al. 1995) as realised by the UCAC4.
4. Results and analysis
Precise astrometric measurements were the basic aim to be attained from these observations. Magnitudes of all objects were also determined because these quantities play an important role when selecting among the final occultation predictions.
4.1. Sky paths
Exposure times of 30 s mentioned earlier are enough, under the typical sky of La Silla, to provide us with catalogues complete down to R = 19.0 (see Fig. 2) and with a limiting magnitude of R = 21.0. The expected nominal signal-to-noise ratio (S/N) to stars at R = 19.0 is about 65 in raw images under clear sky. Each object listed in Table 1 has, therefore, three such catalogues: one covering its sky path from 2012.5 to the end of 2012, another covering its sky path for the year 2013, and another covering its sky path for the year 2014. After 2014, astrometric releases of the GAIA (Perryman 2003) space mission are expected. All the positions from the mosaic catalogues are consistent with the primary reference catalogue UCAC4. To make it easier for the end user, we organised these catalogues according to the calendar year. Thus, if the user is observing the FOV of a TNO at a given date, he/she knows what catalogue to use by the calendar label because the stars contained in that FOV will be listed in that particular catalogue only.
Characteristics of the catalogues from the observations that covered the sky paths of TNOs.
These catalogues comprise a total of 12 456 565 entries and, in their original format, were used to search candidate stars to be occulted by the objects in Table 1. We also prepared a simplified version (that is, with fewer columns) of each catalogue2 to serve as astrometric reference to the reduction of the individual CCDs from the mosaics with the direct observations of the TNOs3. An extract of such a catalogue, which we call WFI catalogue, is given in Table 4. Columns 8 and 9 of that table concern the uncertainties in proper motions and are always 99.999, indicating that they were not estimated. This is expected to change in the future so that we keep those columns to avoid changing formats in the programs that read these files.
From Cols. 4 and 5 in Table 5, we see that the median of the standard deviation of the measurements in right ascension and declination for the TNOs is 13 mas. If we consider the S/N of 65 mentioned above and a seeing of , a rough theoretical estimate for the precision of the centroid position of an stellar image would be 8 mas. This value should be compared with the value of 13 mas, which can also be understood as the internal precision of the measurements (the repeatability capability of the instrument measurements in position). This comparison supports an efficient PSF fitting and translation of CCD coordinates into equatorial coordinates.
Figure 3 shows the internal precisions in position as obtained from the reduction process of the images that covered the sky paths. In that figure, where the images were integrated for 30 s, we notice that the precisions of faint (R ≳ 19.0) objects are significantly poorer than the value of 13 mas of the internal precision of the TNO’s positions. The S/N of 65 associated to integrations of 30 s is a theoretical value that in practice was not achieved. To image the sky paths, this integration time was kept regardless of the observational conditions. On the other hand, the images aimed at the astrometry of the TNOs were acquired to ensure that these faint objects had a high enough S/N for good astrometry (the typical integration time was 200 s). In addition, the observational strategy kept these objects in a constrained area of the mosaic, close to the optical axis of the instrument, so that the effects of an imperfect corretion of the field distortion pattern are weaker. This was certainly not the case for the images acquired for the astrometry of the sky paths.
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Fig. 2 Histogram of the magnitudes for all objects in the observations of the sky paths of the TNOs, in bins of 0.19 mag. |
From Cols. 5 and 6 in Table 3, we notice that the standard deviations for the measured positions of the reference stars is typically 50 mas, which is higher than those presented in Fig. 3. This is expected because the uncertainties in Fig. 3 reflect the internal precision of the measurements, while Cols. 5 and 6 of Table 3 basically reflect the uncertainties of the UCAC44 stars at the WFI observation epoch. Overall, 50 mas is the highest value that represents the uncertainties of the measurements presented here. In addition, this value is associated to the stars that realise, in this work, the adopted celestial frame (ICRS). Therefore, it is safe to adopt that value as representative of the precision of the observed positions of TNOs and of stars contained in the catalogues that are derived from the observations of the sky paths. All the observational data in Table 3 come from the ESO/MPG 2p2+WFI.
A clear exception to the adoption of 50 mas to the precision in position is the Centaur (8405) Asbolus. It is the faintest solar system object in Table 1, and the dispersion of the measurements (see Cols. 4 and 5 of Table 5) is an indication that a lower precision in position should be associated to this object. Our suggestion is to use the σα ∗ and σδ values from Table 5 in this case.
Extract of the WFI catalogue for the Centaur (10199) Chariklo.
4.2. Observation of the TNOs
Most ephemerides for the TNOs, for instance, those available from the JPL HORIZONS service, are frequently upgraded to better represent the real orbit of these bodies. But the accuracies of these ephemerides are still not good enough to be used in the work of occultation prediction. To perform these corrections and also redetermine the orbits, the observation of these bodies are of the utmost importance. Table 5 summarizes the main results from these observations, for which the WFI catalogues were fully exploited. All the observational data in Table 5 come from the ESO/MPG 2p2+WFI.
5. Correction for the ephemerides
We used the ephemerides obtained from the JPL HORIZONS telnet service as primary source for the positions of TNOs. The required refined knowledge of these positions may be obtained by either a correction of the respective ephemerides, or by redetermining the TNO orbits. The correction may be given in the form of a (time-dependent) single offset as obtained from the difference between observed and ephemeris positions (offset method). The redetermination of TNO orbit (ephemeris method) depends on the availability of a number of observed positions and of a code for the numerical integration of the equations of motion. We used the code Numerical Integration of the Motion of an Asteroid (NIMA – see next subsection) to update and refine the predictions presented here.
Redetermining the ephemeris allows us to propagate the correction to future dates (a few years ahead, for instance), but requires the availability of additional observations spread over a time span of some years – from the Minor Planet Center (MPC), for instance – as well as continuous observational work.
Experience shows that the offset method is thoroughly useful as a starting point to determine the predicitons. Indeed, we note that
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1.
Frequently, the observed and ephemeris positions of a givenTNO are offset by high values (hundreds of milliarcseconds).Therefore, although this offset is time dependent and not accurateenough to precisely predict a future occultation (one year after theacquisition of the observation from which the offset wasdetermined, for instance), we are definitely aware that this ispossible, so that we can proceed with the necessary refinements indue course. This scenario is by far better than making nopredictions and taking the risk of losing an occultation.
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2.
Frequently, using different sets of observations of a TNO made close in time results in the application of very different offsets on the respective ephemeris. An orbit determination from these sets of observations would be inaccurate, which means that we would have to wait for more observational data.
In this context, all predictions in this work were made with the offset method; offsets in the sense observed minus ephemeris positions for all TNOs are listed in Table 5.
The ephemeris method, however, yields more reliable TNO positions (see also Fraser et al. 2013) at dates far from those of the observed positions (compare the uncertainties in the two panels in Fig. 4). In this context we performed updates and refinements of our predictions by considering the ephemeris method as frequently as possible. Of course, refinements on the position of the candidate star to be occulted were performed constantly.
Figure 4 shows a comparison between results from NIMA and JPL ephemerides for the Centaur (10199) Chariklo. On the leftmost vertical lines (both panels) of that figure are found the offsets (solid circles) in the sense observation minus JPL, where the observations were made at the Pico dos Dias Observatory (OPD)/LNA in 2011. On the two next vertical lines (both panels) are found the offsets in the sense observation minus JPL, where observations were made during two close nights at the ESO-La Silla (last run, see Table 2). The offsets as determined from the June 2013 occultation (see Fig. 5) were then assumed to be on the intersection of the rightmost line with the blue (grey) and black thick lines shown in the right panel. The uncertainty of the differences between NIMA and JPL is much smaller in the right panel. This feature helps us to predict stellar occultations more accurately and highlights the need of frequent observations of TNOs to improve their ephemerides.
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Fig. 3 Internal precisions in right ascension and declination to all stars from the observations of the sky paths. These precisions were determined as follows: standard deviations were grouped in bins of 0.5 mag and then the mean value was taken. The standard deviations of each star are obtained from the global reduction technique (see Sect. 3) by considering each position of the star and the resulting mean position. Each symbol represents the average of at least 1000 measurements. |
5.1. Ephemeris determination
The ephemeris determination makes use of the code NIMA. The dynamical model takes into account the perturbations of the eight planets, and we considered the EMB instead of Earth and Moon. The positions of the planets (or the barycenter of the system where the planets are) are provided by JPL planetary ephemerides DE421 (Folkner et al. 2009). Adding the perturbations of the three main asteroids (Ceres, Pallas, and Vesta) has no consequence on the motion of Centaurs or TNOs, because of their masses and the distance between these objects. The equations of motion were numerically integrated with a Gauss-Radau method (Everhart 1985) as well as the variational equations used to fit the dynamical model. The fitting process consists of determining the state vector of the asteroid that minimizes the difference between computed and observed positions, as explained in Desmars et al. (2009). The observations come from the Minor Planet Center5 or the AstDyS6 database, and from other databases or observatories. The precision of observations can be taken into account in the fitting process by giving a weight to each observation. The AstDyS database provides an estimated accuracy of each observation that is used in our process. Finally, the dynamical model fitted on observations provides the asteroid ephemeris, whose accuracy can be estimated from the propagation of the covariance matrix (see, for instance, Desmars et al. 2013).
6. Occultation predictions
The prediction of the occultation is obtained by crossing the stellar catalogues of positions and proper motions presented before with a given ephemeris. Again, the same procedures as reported by Assafin et al. (2010, 2012) were used, therefore we only briefly describe them here.
In our catalogues of positions and proper motions (one per year per TNO), positions (see details in Table 3) are obtained from the stellar content in the observations that covered the sky paths. Proper motions are determined as follows:
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1.
If the star is in the UCAC4, take the proper motion from there.
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2.
If the star is not in the UCAC4, search for it in the 2MASS point source catalogue (Skrutskie et al. 2006). If found, determine its the proper motion.
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3.
If the star is found neither in UCAC4 nor in 2MASS, search for it in the USNO-B1.0 (Monet et al. 2003). If found, determine its proper motion. If not, no proper motion is determined.
Whatever the source for the ephemeris, either JPL (offset method correction) or NIMA, we use the geometry space information system SPICE (Acton 1996) tools to read them and the SOFA7 and NOVAS8 software to perform, when necessary, transformations involving earth orientation parameters. With this, a one-minute step position ephemeris is generated for each TNO and is then compared with the stellar catalogue of positions and proper motions. The final output is an ascii table, as shown by Table 6, with the necessary information to produce occultation maps (see Fig. 5).
We emphasize that all the results are made publicly available: occultation maps9, occultation tables (example given by Table 6) can be obtained from the CDS, and the WFI catalogues can be obtained from the sites mentioned earlier in the text. All updates and refinements concerning the predictions are reported.
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Fig. 4 Differences in position in the sense NIMA minus JPL ephemeris (same ephemeris version as that given in Table 5) for Centaur (10199) Chariklo. Left panel: differences in right ascension (black thick line) and declination (grey/blue thick line), where NIMA used observational data from the MPC and from the OPD. The thin grey lines show the 1-σ uncertainty of the differences. Right panel: differences in right ascension (black thick line) and declination (grey/blue thick line), where NIMA used observational data from the MPC and from the OPD and ESO. |
Extract of a prediction table.
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Fig. 5 Occultation map for (10199) Chariklo. Compare the information given in caption with the first entry of Table 6. |
7. Comments and conclusions
We have presented stellar occultation predictions to selected 5 Centaurs and 34 TNOs from 2012.5 to the end of 2014. The whole observational data were obtained during four consecutive runs at La Silla – from October 2011 to May 2013 (see Table 2) – with the ESO 2p2 equipped with the Wide Field Imager. As of 2015, astrometric results from GAIA will provide stellar catalogues with positions and proper motions with unprecedented (microarcsecond) precision so that only refinements on the occulting bodies′ ephemerides will be necessary (note in Fig. 4 the amplitudes of the differences between the NIMA and JPL ephemerides for (10199) Chariklo).
Sky paths covering regions of the sky where the TNO has already passed are still useful if one wants to refer to the respective past occultation and obtain a better astrometry of the occulting object. In addition, images associated to either past or future paths of a given TNO are, due to their limiting magnitudes, useful to investigate background stars that were or will be connected with the occulting body. The WFI catalogues, derived from the observations of the sky paths, provide useful catalogues that can serve as astrometric reference for astronomical images containing the covered regions.
At the time of the writing, the observations related to a precisely predicted occultation by the Centaur (10199) Chariklo (Fig. 5) were succesfully made and the respective results will appear in a paper by Braga-Ribas et al. (2013, in prep.). The occultation by (119951) 2002 KX14 on 26 Apr. 2012 (observed in La Palma, Spain) was not predicted because the occultation occurred before our observations to cover its future path on the sky (second run at La Silla, see Table 2). However, now that the path is covered, we noticed that it would have been correctly predicted. Confirmation of past occultations is a valid test for our procedures and calculations to predict occultations.
As discussed by Assafin et al. (2010, 2012) a tentative way of estimating the probability of success of an occultation prediction is to consider the ratio of the apparent diameter of the TNO to its ephemeris offset uncertainty (see Table 5). Due to the use of the positions and proper motions catalogue in the reduction of the individual CCDs from the direct observations of the TNOs, the use of the uncertainty data on Table 5 would overestimate that probability. Instead, the use of the uncertainty from the ephemeris redetermination, when available, would be more suitable. Otherwise, the value of 50 mas should be used.
The reduction procedure follows the same method applied in Assafin et al. (2010) and Assafin et al. (2012). The most relevant differences are 1. use of the UCAC4 catalogue instead of UCAC2 and 2. the use of the catalogues with stellar positions and proper motions as derived from the observations of the sky paths (see Sect. 4) to reduce the observations of the TNOs and, consequently, obtain the offsets. This last feature, in particular, provides a better consistency between the positions of the occulting and occulted bodies.
General characteristics concerning the astrometry for both sky paths and solar system objects are provided in Tables 3 and 5. From the first of these tables, a mean standard deviation of 50 mas is obtained from the differences between observed and catalogue positions of reference (UCAC4) stars on both equatorial coordinates. These values can be taken as the mean accuracy of all the observed positions. From the latter of these tables, we obtained the offsets in position of each observed solar system target with respect to its respective ephemeris. These offsets were used to make a first determination of the predictions and also to help us in the organization of future events. However, new orbit determinations through NIMA were used, whenever possible, to update forthcoming events10.
The catalogues with stellar positions and proper motions are complete down to R = 19. Although this magnitude value may sound out of reach for many small telescopes, it is important to remember that the electron-multiplying technology, available on many cameras, makes occultation events involving faint stars (R = 16–17) detectable by 40 cm-class telescopes, for instance.
See http://www.mpe.mpg.de/~jcg/GROND/ for more details about GROND.
Available at the CDS and also at http://funk.on.br/camargo/WFIBC/ and ftp://ftp.imcce.fr/pub/catalogs/WFIBC/
The problem with the data related to some high proper motions in UCAC4, as pointed out in http://www.usno.navy.mil/USNO/astrometry/optical-IR-prod/ucac, is known and the script to correct for it was properly applied.
Example given by Fig. 5 can be obtained from the link http://www.lesia.obspm.fr/perso/bruno-sicardy/
These new determinations are explicitely indicated on the site http://devel2.linea.gov.br/ braga.ribas/campaigns/ when they are made.
Acknowledgments
J.I.B.C. acknowledges CNPq grant 302657/2010-0. M.A. acknowledges CNPq grants 482080/2009-4 and 478318/2007-3. R.V.M. aknowledges CNPq grant 304124/2007-9. F.B.-R. acknowledges support from the French-Brazilian Doctoral College Coordination of Improvement of Graduated Personnel Programme (CDFB/CAPES) and CNPq grant 150541/2013-9. B.S. acknowledges support from French National Research Agency grant ANR-11-IS56-0002 Beyond Neptune II. J.D. acknowledges support from CNPq grant 161605/2012-5. A.H.A. acknowledges CNPq grant PQ306775/2009-3 and Marie Curie FP7 grant 247593 IPERCOOL.
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All Tables
TNOs for which candidate stellar occultations for the period from 2012 Jun. 1st to 2014 Dec. 31st were predicted.
Characteristics of the catalogues from the observations that covered the sky paths of TNOs.
All Figures
![]() |
Fig. 1 Covering of the sky path of TNO (54598) Bienor from 2012 June 1 to 2014 Dec. 31. The blue (dashed) line represents the path of the TNO as seen by a ground-based observer. The region within the red (dotted) squares represent the area covered by the WFI mosaic. The uncovered segments of the path are those where the Sun-observer-target angle is smaller than 30°. The timeline starting point of the path is the bottom-left extremity of the blue (dashed) line. In this timeline, the frames corresponding to year 2013 start at RA about 0.9 h and end at RA about 1.2 h. |
In the text |
![]() |
Fig. 2 Histogram of the magnitudes for all objects in the observations of the sky paths of the TNOs, in bins of 0.19 mag. |
In the text |
![]() |
Fig. 3 Internal precisions in right ascension and declination to all stars from the observations of the sky paths. These precisions were determined as follows: standard deviations were grouped in bins of 0.5 mag and then the mean value was taken. The standard deviations of each star are obtained from the global reduction technique (see Sect. 3) by considering each position of the star and the resulting mean position. Each symbol represents the average of at least 1000 measurements. |
In the text |
![]() |
Fig. 4 Differences in position in the sense NIMA minus JPL ephemeris (same ephemeris version as that given in Table 5) for Centaur (10199) Chariklo. Left panel: differences in right ascension (black thick line) and declination (grey/blue thick line), where NIMA used observational data from the MPC and from the OPD. The thin grey lines show the 1-σ uncertainty of the differences. Right panel: differences in right ascension (black thick line) and declination (grey/blue thick line), where NIMA used observational data from the MPC and from the OPD and ESO. |
In the text |
![]() |
Fig. 5 Occultation map for (10199) Chariklo. Compare the information given in caption with the first entry of Table 6. |
In the text |
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