Open Access

Table C.2

Priors and posteriors of our favorite model.

Parameter Unit Prior Posterior
Kb m s−1 𝒰(0, 3σRV) 0.63 ± 0.10
Pb d 𝒰(50, 100) 72.5780.060+0.059Mathematical equation: $\[72.578_{-0.060}^{+0.059}\]$
Phaseb 𝒰(0.5, 1.5) 0.9920.039+0.041Mathematical equation: $\[0.992_{-0.039}^{+0.041}\]$
Kc m s−1 𝒰(0, 3σRV) 0.64 ± 0.12
Pc d 𝒰(500, 1000) 682.59.9+9.5Mathematical equation: $\[682.5_{-9.9}^{+9.5}\]$
Phase c 𝒰(0.5, 1.5) 1.040.09+0.11Mathematical equation: $\[1.04_{-0.09}^{+0.11}\]$
K1cycle RV m s−1 𝒰(0, 3σRV) 0.870.30+0.28Mathematical equation: $\[0.87_{-0.30}^{+0.28}\]$
Pcycle d 𝒰(2000, 6000) 4090130+140Mathematical equation: $\[4090_{-130}^{+140}\]$
Phase 1 cycle 𝒰(0.5, 1.5) 0.8750.040+0.039Mathematical equation: $\[0.875_{-0.040}^{+0.039}\]$
K2cycle RV m s−1 𝒰(0, 3σRV) 0.460.21+0.25Mathematical equation: $\[0.46_{-0.21}^{+0.25}\]$
Phase 2 cycle 𝒰(0.0, 1.0) 0.2820.080+0.091Mathematical equation: $\[0.282_{-0.080}^{+0.091}\]$
RV offset H03 m s−1 𝒩(0, 3σRV) 0.320.25+0.26Mathematical equation: $\[0.32_{-0.25}^{+0.26}\]$
RV offset H15 m s−1 𝒩(0, 3σRV) −0.18 ± 0.32
RV offset HN m s−1 𝒩(0, 3σRV) 0.530.26+0.28Mathematical equation: $\[0.53_{-0.26}^{+0.28}\]$
RV offset E19 m s−1 𝒩(0, 3σRV) −0.64 ± 0.72
RV log jitter H03 𝒰(−5, 5) 0.3990.081+0.082Mathematical equation: $\[0.399_{-0.081}^{+0.082}\]$
RV log jitter H15 𝒰(−5, 5) −0.03 ± 0.13
RV log jitter HN 𝒰(−5, 5) 0.152 ± 0.88
RV log jitter E19 𝒰(−5, 5) −0.18 ± 0.13
K1cycle FWHM m s−1 𝒰(0, 3σFWHM) 3.23 ± 0.88
K2cycle FWHM m s−1 𝒰(0, 3σFWHM) 0.910.60+0.79Mathematical equation: $\[0.91_{-0.60}^{+0.79}\]$
FWHM offset H03 m s−1 𝒩(0, 3σFWHM) 1.050.72+0.74Mathematical equation: $\[-1.05_{-0.72}^{+0.74}\]$ 2.4
FWHM offset H15 m s−1 𝒩(0, 3σFWHM) 0.1 ± 1.0
FWHM offset HN 1 m s−1 𝒩(0, 3σFWHM) 1.830.79+0.83Mathematical equation: $\[1.83_{-0.79}^{+0.83}\]$
FWHM offset HN 2 m s−1 𝒩(0, 3σFWHM) −10.6 ± 2.0
FWHM offset E19 m s−1 𝒩(0, 3σFWHM) 1.62.2+2.1Mathematical equation: $\[-1.6_{-2.2}^{+2.1}\]$
FWHM log jitter H03 𝒰(−5, 5) 0.690.11+0.12Mathematical equation: $\[0.69_{-0.11}^{+0.12}\]$
FWHM log jitter H15 𝒰(−5, 5) 1.17 ± 0.12
FWHM log jitter HN 𝒰(−5, 5) 0.65 ± 0.11
FWHM log jitter E19 𝒰(−5, 5) 0.560.22+0.18Mathematical equation: $\[0.56_{-0.22}^{+0.18}\]$
K1cycle S index × 1000 𝒰(0, 3σS index × 1000) 5.9 ± 1.1
K2cycle S index × 1000 𝒰(0, 3σS index × 1000) 2.60.8+1.0Mathematical equation: $\[2.6_{-0.8}^{+1.0}\]$
S index × 1000 offset H03 𝒩(0, 3σS index) 1.740.94+0.95Mathematical equation: $\[-1.74_{-0.94}^{+0.95}\]$
S index × 1000 offset H15 𝒩(0, 3σS index) 0.81.3+1.4Mathematical equation: $\[-0.8_{-1.3}^{+1.4}\]$
S index × 1000 offset HN 𝒩(0, 3σS index) 2.2 ± 1.0
S index × 1000 offset E19 𝒩(0, 3σS index) 2.02.9+2.8Mathematical equation: $\[-2.0_{-2.9}^{+2.8}\]$
S index × 1000 log jitter H03 𝒰(−10, 5) 0.52.7+0.6Mathematical equation: $\[-0.5_{-2.7}^{+0.6}\]$
S index × 1000 log jitter H15 𝒰(−10, 5) 1.150.17+0.15Mathematical equation: $\[1.15_{-0.17}^{+0.15}\]$
S index × 1000 log jitter HN 𝒰(−10, 5) 0.150.20+0.18Mathematical equation: $\[0.15_{-0.20}^{+0.18}\]$
S index × 1000 log jitter E19 𝒰(−10, 5) 0.89 ± 0.14
log A1 S index × 1000 𝒰(−5, 5) 1.180.11+0.12Mathematical equation: $\[1.18_{-0.11}^{+0.12}\]$
Prot d 𝒰(15, 45) 28.220.30+0.35Mathematical equation: $\[28.22_{-0.30}^{+0.35}\]$
log Timescale 𝒰(3, 7) 4.680.23+0.22Mathematical equation: $\[4.68_{-0.23}^{+0.22}\]$
log η 𝒰(−5, 2) −0.52 ± 0.14
A1 RV m s−1 𝒰(−5, 5) 1.020.016+0.018Mathematical equation: $\[1.02_{-0.016}^{+0.018}\]$
A1 FWHM 𝒰(−5, 5) 3.430.37+0.44Mathematical equation: $\[3.43_{-0.37}^{+0.44}\]$
A2 RV m 𝒰(−20, 20) 2.640.65+0.74Mathematical equation: $\[2.64_{-0.65}^{+0.74}\]$
A2 FWHM m 𝒰(−20, 20) 3.2 ± 1.4

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