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Table C.7

Comparison of posteriors from modelling of different RVs and activity indicators. These are: CCF RV & FWHM;, LBL RV & CCF FWHM (d4, our best model; boldface), LBL RV & S-index, LBL RV & Hα, LBL RV & Na I.

Parameter name Symbol Unit Prior Posterior
RVCCF & FWHMCCF RVLBL & FWHMCCF RVLBL & S-index RVLBL & Hα RVLBL & Na I
Long-term function parameters
Period Pcyc d 𝒰log (200, 2000) 1844162+110${1844_{ - 162}^{ + 110}}$ 3168+14${316_{ - 8}^{ + 14}}$ 33219+47${332_{ - 19}^{ + 47}}$ 28313+104${283_{ - 13}^{ + 104}}$ 1384945+502${1384_{ - 95}^{ + 502}}$
RV phase φcyc.0 - 𝒰(0, 1)w 0.5070.156+0.954${0.507_{ - 0.156}^{ + 0.954}}$ 0.6430.230+0.350${0.643_{ - 0.230}^{ + 0.350}}$ 0.6900.302+0.403${0.690_{ - 0.302}^{ + 0.403}}$ 0.7360.233+0.276${0.736_{ - 0.233}^{ + 0.276}}$ 0.7230.236+0.264${0.723_{ - 0.236}^{ + 0.264}}$
RV amplitude kcyc, 0 m s−1 𝒰(0, 40) 1.771.10+1.19$1.77_{ - 1.10}^{ + 1.19}$ 1.170.37+0.36$1.17_{ - 0.37}^{ + 0.36}$ 1.070.41+0.36$1.07_{ - 0.41}^{ + 0.36}$ 1.270.31+0.30$1.27_{ - 0.31}^{ + 0.30}$ 0.950.61+0.55$0.95_{ - 0.61}^{ + 0.55}$
Indicator phase φcyc.1 - 𝒰(0, 1)w 0.9320.197+0.194$0.932_{ - 0.197}^{ + 0.194}$ 0.8820.226+0.333$0.882_{ - 0.226}^{ + 0.333}$ 0.000.35+0.37$0.00_{ - 0.35}^{ + 0.37}$ 0.9840.257+0.243$0.984_{ - 0.2}^{ + 0.2}$ 0.9940.224+0.244$0.994_{ - 0.224}^{ + 0.244}$
Indicator amplitude kcyc, 1 - 𝒰log(10−3, 103) 3.422.28+2.78$3.42_{ - 2.28}^{ + 2.78}$ 2.171.12+1.04$2.17_{ - 1.12}^{ + 1.04}$ (3.76220+2.26)×102$\left( {3.76_{ - 220}^{ + 2.26}} \right) \times {10^{ - 2}}$ (5.513.825.68)×103$\left( {5.51_{ - 3.82}^{5.68}} \right) \times {10^{ - 3}}$ (2.071.36+1.30)×103$\left( {2.07_{ - 136}^{ + 130}} \right) \times {10^{ - 3}}$
RV second-order correction α0 m s−1 d−2 𝒩(μlm.200σlm) (1.489.75+11.03)×107${\left( {1.48_{ - 975}^{ + 11.03}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 7}}}$ (3.254.56+4.37)×107${\left( { - 3.25_{ - 4.56}^{ + 4.37}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 7}}}$ (6.747.25+6.27)×107${\left( { - 6.74_{ - - 6527}^{ + 6.27}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 7}}}$ (6.633.76+3.71)×107${\left( { - 6.63_{ - 3.76}^{ + 3.71}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 7}}}$ (5.343.96+6.24)×107${\left( { - 5.34_{ - 3.96}^{ + 6.24}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 7}}}$
RV first-order correction β0 m s−1 d−1 𝒩(μlm.200σlm) (1.353.75+4.03)×103${\left( {1.35_{ - 3.75}^{ + 4.33}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 3}}}$ (6.71179.03+173.14)×105${\left( { - 6.71_{ - 179.03}^{1 + 14.4}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 5}}}$ (1.472.79+2.42)×103${\left( { - 1.47_{ - 2.79}^{ + 2.42}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 3}}}$ (1.291.43+1.42)×103${\left( { - 1.29_{ - 1.43}^{ + 1.42}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 3}}}$ (6.2514.99+20.67)×104${\left( { - 6.25_{ - 14.99}^{ + 20.67}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 4}}}$
RV zero-order correction γ0 m s−1 𝒩(μlm.200σlm) 3.003.29+3.30${3.00_{ - 3.29}^{ + 3.30}}$ 2.481.70+1.69${2.48_{ - 1.70}^{ + 1.69}}$ 1.392.47+2.21${1.39_{ - 2.47}^{ + 2.21}}$ 2.041.50+1.34${2.04_{ - 1.50}^{ + 1.34}}$ 2.581.53+1.40${2.58_{ - 1.53}^{ + 1.40}}$
Indicator second-order correction α1 - 𝒩(μlm.200σlm) (1.522.16+2.53)×106${\left( {1.52_{ - 2.15}^{ + 2.53}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 6}}}$ (1.371.63+1.59)×106${\left( {1.37_{ - 1.53}^{ + 1.59}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 6}}}$ (4.824.26+3.92)×108${\left( {4.82_{ - 4.26}^{ + 3.47}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 8}}}$ (7.054.56+4.67)×109${\left( {7.05_{ - 4.56}^{ + 4.57}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 9}}}$ (1.181.00+0.95)×109${\left( {1.18_{ - 1.09}^{ + 0.95}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 9}}}$`
Indicator first-order correction β1 - 𝒩(μlm.200σlm) (5.988.60+9.51)×103${\left( {5.98_{ - 8.60}^{ + 9.5}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 3}}}$ (5.456.38+6.15)×103${\left( {5.45_{ - 6.38}^{ + 6.15}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 3}}}$ (2.921.66+1.51)×104${\left( {2.92_{ - 1.56}^{ + 1.51}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 4}}}$ (4.841.80+1.81)×105${\left( {4.84_{ - 1.80}^{ + 1.8}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 5}}}$ (7.943.89+3.64)×106${\left( {7.94_{ - 3.69}^{ + 3.64}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 6}}}$
Indicator zero-order correction γ1 - 𝒩(μlm.200σlm) 2.877.29+7.77${2.87_{ - 7.29}^{ + 7.77}}$ 3.275.61+5.66${3.27_{ - 5.61}^{ + 5.66}}$ (3.981.42+1.34)×101${\left( {3.98_{ - 1.42}^{ + 1.34}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 1}}}$ (7.541.69+1.63)×102${\left( {7.54_{ - 1.69}^{ + .63}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 2}}}$ (1.170.34+0.33)×102${\left( {1.17_{ - 0.34}^{ + 033}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 2}}}$
Dataset parameters
RV jitter J0, 0 m s−1 𝒰log(10−3,103) 1.46 ±0.24 1.290.14+0.15${1.29_{ - 0.14}^{ + 0.15}}$ 1.280.14+0.15${1.28_{ - 0.14}^{ + 0.15}}$ 1.310.15+0.16${1.31_{ - 0.15}^{ + 0.16}}$ 1.300.14+0.15${1.30_{ - 0.14}^{ + 0.15}}$
Indicator jitter J0, 1 - 𝒰log(10−3,103) (4.464.12+34.56)×102${\left( {4.46_{ - 4.12}^{ + 34.56}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 2}}}$ (2.902.62+28.85)×102${\left( {2.90_{ - 2.62}^{ + 28.85}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 2}}}$ (3.051.65+4.46)×103${\left( {3.05_{ - 1.65}^{ + 4.46}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 3}}}$ (9.590.66+0.70)×103${\left( {9.59_{ - 0.66}^{ + 0.70}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 3}}}$ (1.510.21+0.21)×103${\left( {1.51_{ - 0.21}^{ + 0.21}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 3}}}$
Stellar-activity parameters
Timescale τ d 𝒰log (40,104) 18060+119${180_{ - 60}^{ + 119}}$ 18055+93${180_{ - 55}^{ + 93}}$ 321121+278${321_{ - 121}^{ + 278}}$ 13034+52${130_{ - 34}^{ + 52}}$ 15341+65${153_{ - 41}^{ + 65}}$
Period P d 𝒰log (2, 200) 30.20.3+0.4${30.2_{ - 0.3}^{ + 0.4}}$ 30.2 ± 0.3 30.2 ± 0.2 30.1 ±0.3 29.9 ±0.3
Sinescale (harmonic complexity) η - 𝒰log(10−2,102) 1.000.28+0.53${1.00_{ - 0.28}^{ + 0.53}}$ 0.820.19+0.29${0.82_{ - 0.19}^{ + 0.29}}$ 0.930.25+0.45${0.93_{ - 0.25}^{ + 0.45}}$ 0.650.13+0.18${0.65_{ - 0.13}^{ + 0.18}}$ 0.590.14+0.19${0.59_{ - 0.14}^{ + 0.19}}$
RV amplitude A0 ms 1 𝒰(−103,103) 2.770.88+2.02${2.77_{ - 0.88}^{ + 2.02}}$ 1.320.44+0.70${1.32_{ - 0.44}^{ + 0.19}}$ 2.000.77+1.87${2.00_{ - 0.77}^{ + 1.15}}$ 0.760.47+0.46${0.76_{ - 0.47}^{ + 0.46}}$ 1.170.68+0.63${1.17_{ - 0.68}^{ + 0.63}}$
RV gradient amplitude B0 ms1 d 1 𝒰(−103,103) (2.560.86+1.90)×101${\left( {2.56_{ - 0.88}^{ + 0.65}} \right) \times {{10}^1}}$ (1.810.44+0.82)×101${\left( {1.81_{ - 0.44}^{ + 0.82}} \right) \times {{10}^1}}$ (2.300.75+1.89)×101${\left( {2.30_{ - 0.05}^{ + 1.89}} \right) \times {{10}^1}}$ (1.530.29+0.46)×101${\left( {1.53_{ - 0.29}^{ + 0.46}} \right) \times {{10}^1}}$ (1.450.30+0.49)×101${\left( {1.45_{ - 0.40}^{ + 0.49}} \right) \times {{10}^1}}$
Indicator amplitude A1 - 𝒰log(10−3,103) 7.092.02+4.88${7.09_{ - 2.02}^{ + 4.88}}$ 6.031.40612+2.54140${6.03_{ - 1.40612}^{ + 2.5140}}$ (1.380.44+1.08)×101${\left( {1.38_{ - 0.44}^{ + 1.08}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 1}}}$ (1.980.35+0.53)×102${\left( {1.98_{ - 0.35}^{ + 0.53}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 2}}}$ (3.650.67+1.02)×103${\left( {3.65_{ - 0.67}^{ + 1.02}} \right) \times {{10}^{ - 3}}}$
GJ 3998 b
Period Pb d 𝒰 (2,3) 2.65060(53)+(120)$2.65060_{ - (53)}^{ + (120)}$ 2.65033(19)+(22)$2.65033_{ - (19)}^{ + (22)}$ 2.65030(19)+(22)$2.65030_{ - (19)}^{ + (22)}$ 2.65029(16)+(18)$2.65029_{ - (16)}^{ + (18)}$ 2.65027(16)+(17)$2.65027_{ - (16)}^{ + (17)}$
Phase φb - 𝒰(0, 1)w 0.2630.236+0.253$0.263_{ - 0.236}^{ + 0.253}$ 0.1480.095+0.082$0.148_{ - 0.095}^{ + 0.082}$ 0.1590.098+0.080$0.159_{ - 0.098}^{ + 0.008}$ 0.1660.076+0.068$0.166_{ - 0.076}^{ + 0.068}$ 0.1720.075+0.068$0.172_{ - 0.075}^{ + 0.068}$
RV semi-amnlitude krv, b ms 1 𝒰 (0,5) 1.62 + 0.24 1.79 + 0.18 1.82 + 0.18 1.84 + 0.18 1.84 + 0.18
GJ 3998 c
Period Pc d 𝒰(13, 14) 13.7240.005+0.004$13.724_{ - 0.005}^{ + 0.004}$ 13.7270.004+0.003$13.727_{ - 0.004}^{ + 0.003}$ 13.726 ± 0.004 13.727 ±0.004 13.727 ±0.004
Phase φc - 𝒰(0, 1)w 0.5110.069+0.073$0.511_{ - 0.069}^{ + 0.073}$ 0.4660.051+0.055$0.466_{ - 0.051}^{ + 0.055}$ 0.4830.056+0.058$0.483_{ - 0.056}^{ + 0.058}$ 0.4920.057+0.058$0.492_{ - 0.057}^{ + 0.058}$ 0.4950.060+0.062$0.495_{ - 0.060}^{ + 0.062}$
RV semi-amplitude krv,c ms 1 𝒰(0, 5) 2.920.33+0.34$2.92_{ - 0.33}^{ + 0.34}$ 2.82 ± 0.26 2.68 ± 0.25 3.010.30+0.31$3.01_{ - 0.30}^{ + 0.31}$ 2.73 ± 0.29
GJ 3998 d
Period Pd d 𝒰(30, 50) 41.7710.53+0.11$41.77_{ - 10.53}^{ + 0.11}$ 41.78 ±0.05 41.78 ±0.05 41.780.05+0.06$41.78_{ - 0.05}^{ + 0.06}$ 41.790.05+0.06$41.79_{ - 0.05}^{ + 0.06}$
Phase φd - 𝒰(0, 1)w 0.7530.181+0.221$0.753_{ - 0.181}^{ + 0.221}$ 0.7850.080+0.077$0.785_{ - 0.080}^{ + 0.077}$ 0.7810.088+0.086$0.781_{ - 0.088}^{ + 0.086}$ 0.7850.083+0.078$0.785_{ - 0.083}^{ + 0.078}$ 0.7700.087+0.084$0.770_{ - 0.087}^{ + 0.084}$
RV semi-amplitude krv, d m s−1 𝒰(0,5) 1.520.45+0.41${1.52_{ - 0.45}^{ + 0.41}}$ 1.740.25+0.26${1.74_{ - 0.25}^{ + 0.26}}$ 1.690.27+0.26${1.69_{ - 0.27}^{ + 0.26}}$ 1.90 ±0.27 1.670.28+0.27${1.67_{ - 0.28}^{ + 0.27}}$

Notes. (w)Wrapped parameter. Reported uncertainties reflect the 16th and the 84th percentiles. Pb uncertainties are given in parentheses, to the order of the least significant figure. Some LTF parameters have priors informed by an initial Levenberg-Marquadt fitting procedure. Models with Hα and Na I used the prior 𝒰log (10−4,1) for their LTF amplitudes.

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