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Table 2.

Maximum, median, and minimum values of the Δmin(Bz) distribution (in %) over different virtual spacecraft including at the location of Earth, and the Δmin(Bz) at Earth for the ensemble runs of the Horseshoe model, spheromak model, and FRi3D model.

Event Δmin(Bz) (in %) ϕp − ϕp, avg ϕp − ϕp, e ϕp ϕp − ϕp, e ϕp + ϕp, avg spheromak FRi3D
Event 1 Maximum −41 −47 −53 −56 −59 −21 −65
Median −43 −53 −57 −57 −60 −41 −70
Minimum −54 −79 −67 −66 −68 −65 −74
Earth −43 −52 −60 −64 −66 −26 −74

Event 2 Maximum −37 −35 −30 −26 −22 −58 5
Median −42 −44 −43 −41 −35 −64 −2
Minimum −62 −63 −65 −63 −58 −89 −19
Earth −42 −43 −45 −40 −35 −70 6

Notes. These data are provided for both Event 1 and Event 2. Here, the absolute maximum value of the distribution in all the cases is closer to zero, that is, they correspond to the virtual spacecraft with the best fit of the modelled min(Bz) to observations.

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