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Table 3

Log evidence values for the different models.

Model ln 𝒵
GJ 832 GJ 674 Ross 128 Ross 128 Ross 128
HARPS All HARPS All HARPS All HARPS RedDots HARPS All + CARMENES
0P −702.819 −872.623 −732.539 −329.860 −879.788
ipecc −417.245 −721.134 −726.180 −329.607 −861.687
1 Pcirc −414.969 −711.435 −716.440 −329.813 −859.088
2Pecc −431.104 −675.651 −729.838 −334.821 −885.959
2Pcirc −408.309 −714.733 −725.025 −308.788 −868.615

0P + GP−SHO −427.620 −856.580 −638.419 −281.841 −781.387
0P + GP−dSHO −433.437 −720.755 −659.400 −290.842 −805.854
0P + GP−QP −399.979 −687.511 −648.438 −284.849 −791.900
1Pecc + GP−SHO −369.321 593.106 624.030 284.425 761.586
1Pcirc + GP−SHO 365.269 −670.372 −623.183 −283.352 −760.829
1Pecc + GP−dSHO −373.048 −583.193 −631.783 −289.003 −774.871
1Pcirc+ GP−dSHO −371.079 −648.977 −631.608 −289.949 −776.500
1Pecc + GP−QP −371.120 −590.442 −636.535 −289.520 −774.581
1Pcirc + GP−QP −368.356 −711.195 −634.859 −287.351 −773.571
2Pecc + GP−SHO −372.301 −797.946 −650.356 −286.935 −786.794
2Pcirc + GP−SHO −370.827 −667.461 −624.541 −288.612 −763.897
2Pecc + GP−dSHO −382.833 −824.353 −685.895 −290.482 −814.590
2Pcirc + GP−dSHO −375.092 −681.185 −664.176 −291.211 −809.106
2Pecc + GP−QP −385.800 −701.913 −665.416 −294.656 −830.340
2Pcirc + GP−QP −372.643 −682.551 −678.288 −292.517 −781.612

Notes. We used models with zero, one, and two planets; with and without GP; using the SHO, dSHO or QP kernels. The highest evidence per column is marked in bold. Multiple entries are marked where the values are considered indistinguishable at ∆ ln 𝒵 < 5. The entries marked in bold italics refer to the models we prefer from Sects. 5.1.15.1.3 even though for GJ 674 this is a model with ∆ ln 𝒵 > 5. Our reasoning is given in Sect. 5.1.2.

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