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Table 4

Parameter estimates of the Gl 581 system from joint N-body modeling of RVs from CARMENES, HIRES, HARPS, and including a GP model for stellar activity.

Median and 1-σ Maximum – ln ℒ

Parameter Planet e Planet b Planet c Planet e Planet b Planet c
K (m s−1) 1.80.1+0.1$1.8_{ - 0.1}^{ + 0.1}$ 12.60.1+0.1$12.6_{ - 0.1}^{ + 0.1}$ 3.10.1+0.1$3.1_{ - 0.1}^{ + 0.1}$ 1.9 12.6 3.1
P (days) 3.14990.0001+0.0001$3.1499_{ - 0.0001}^{ + 0.0001}$ 5.36830.0001+0.0001$5.3683_{ - 0.0001}^{ + 0.0001}$ 12.92010.0006+0.0006$12.9201_{ - 0.0006}^{ + 0.0006}$ 3.151 5.368 12.920
e 0.0290.016+0.019$0.029_{ - 0.016}^{ + 0.019}$ 0.02840.009+0.008$0.0284_{ - 0.009}^{ + 0.008}$ 0.01610.0111+0.0118$0.0161_{ - 0.0111}^{ + 0.0118}$ 0.025 0.038 0.017
ω (deg) 235.439.8+23.7$235.4_{ - 39.8}^{ + 23.7}$ 70.414.6+16.5$70.4_{ - 14.6}^{ + 16.5}$ 226.4103.8+80.9$226.4_{ - 103.8}^{ + 80.9}$ 243.4 71.1 237.0
MA (deg) 31.521.4+34.5$31.5_{ - 21.4}^{ + 34.5}$ 214.216.9+14.6$214.2_{ - 16.9}^{ + 14.6}$ 156.980.3+103.3$156.9_{ - 80.3}^{ + 103.3}$ 35.8 212.9 146.8
a (au) 0.027990.0003+0.0003$0.02799_{ - 0.0003}^{ + 0.0003}$ 0.03990.0005+0.0005$0.0399_{ - 0.0005}^{ + 0.0005}$ 0.07170.0008+0.0008$0.0717_{ - 0.0008}^{ + 0.0008}$ 0 028 0.040 0.072
mp (M) 1.830.10+0.10$1.83_{ - 0.10}^{ + 0.10}$ 15.310.38+0.38$15.31_{ - 0.38}^{ + 0.38}$ 5.010.21+0.21$5.01_{ - 0.21}^{ + 0.21}$ 1 89 15.24 5.03

GPRot amp. (m s−1) 15.13.7+5.3$15.1_{ - 3.7}^{ + 5.3}$ 10.4
GPRot time scale (days) 706.481.3+247.8$706.4_{ - 81.3}^{ + 247.8}$ 400.1
GPRot period (days) 66.82.1+1.5$66.8_{ - 2.1}^{ + 1.5}$ 66.2
GPRot fact. 0.190.06+0.09$0.19_{ - 0.06}^{ + 0.09}$ 0.21
RVoff CARM. (m s−1) 1.41.6+1.7$ - 1.4_{ - 1.6}^{ + 1.7}$ −1.9
RVoff HIRES (m s−1) 0.31.3+1.1$ - 0.3_{ - 1.3}^{ + 1.1}$ −0.3
RVoff HARPS (ms−1) 0.41.3+1.3$0.4_{ - 1.3}^{ + 1.3}$ 0.4
RVjit CARM. (m s−1) 0.90.4+0.4$0.9_{ - 0.4}^{ + 0.4}$ 0.9
RVjit HIRES (m s−1) 1.50.2+0.2$1.5_{ - 0.2}^{ + 0.2}$ 1.5
RVjit HARPS (m s −1) 0.60.1+0.1$0.6_{ - 0.1}^{ + 0.1}$ 0.6

Notes. Listed are the best-fit parameters and 1−σ uncertainties from the NS posterior analysis.

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