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Table 5

Simulated orbital geometries and our probability estimate.

Case and geometry pin % ∑ (Δχ2 > 0)
1: same hemisphere, prograde 50.33 35.9
1: different hemispheres, retrograde 49.67 39.9
4: different hemispheres, prograde 51.09 26.3
4: same hemisphere, retrograde 48.91 49.9

Notes. The probability sums up to 100% for each case individually. The values are calculated from the curves shown in Fig. 5 and in the corresponding intervals mentioned in the text.

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