Table 4
Confidence interval at the 98% level of the probability P(supt≤5 Gyre1(t) > emax) in percent, where e1 is the eccentricity of Mercury.
| emax | LG09 | La08 | This work |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.35 | (46.9, 51.5) | (37.5, 48.0) | (48.5, 50.8) |
| 0.4 | (23.6, 27.6) | (20.0, 29.1) | (20.3, 22.1) |
| 0.5 | (3.15, 4.97) | (1.90, 5.84) | (1.74, 2.38) |
| 0.6 | (0.60, 1.53) | (0.39, 2.80) | (0.38, 0.71) |
| 0.7 | (0.57, 1.48) | (0.39, 2.80) | (0.32, 0.62) |
| 0.8 | (0.54, 1.43) | (0.28, 2.50) | (0.28, 0.57) |
| 0.9 | (0.51, 1.38) | (0.03, 1.50) | (0.08, 0.26) |
Notes. LG09 represents the 2501 orbital solutions in Laskar & Gastineau (2009), while La08 stands for the 478 integrations in Laskar (2008). The statistics of this work derives from an ensemble of 10 560 orbital solutions.
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