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Table A.1

Maximum a posteriori (MAP) with error for parameters which described in the Eqs. (A.1) and (A.2) as well as the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) and RMS of the residual (RMSresi) between the model and data for the two models: single power law function and piecewise power laws functions.

Posterior RMSresi BIC



Single Piecewise Single Piecewise Single Piecewise


a b x0 y0 k1 k2
Year 1 0.30 0.25 8.6 14.3
                     
Year 2 0.32 0.28 15.7 22.7
                     
Year 3 0.29 0.27 18.1 26.6
                     
Year 4 0.33 0.32 15.3 23.1
                     
Whole sample 0.35 0.29 28.3 35.7

Notes. Prior for b, x0 and y0 is a uniform prior with lower and upper limits (e.g., : for x0: ) and for a, k1 and k2 is .

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