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Table 1

Fit quality evaluation criteria for 16 competing model functions.

Model no. Fitting function p A B C χ2 d.o.f. AIC ΔAIC BIC ΔBIC
1 A+Bt 2 2.535 × 101 –1.060 × 10−2 10.494 18 0.58 –8.19 3.50 –6.91 4.01
2 A+Bt2 2 1.517 × 101 –2.755 × 10−6 10.555 18 0.59 –8.08 3.62 –6.79 4.13
3 At+Bt2 2 1.579 × 10−2 –6.858 × 10−6 10.658 18 0.59 –7.88 3.81 –6.60 4.33
4 A+Bt+Ct2 3 1.101 × 102 –9.900 × 10−2 2.301 × 10−5 10.254 17 0.60 –5.86 5.84 –4.37 6.55
5 A exp(Bt) 2 3.065 × 102 –2.148 × 10−3 10.280 18 0.57 –8.61 3.09 –7.32 3.60
6 A exp(Bt)+C 3 –2.784 × 101 2.399 × 10−4 4.913 × 101 10.520 17 0.62 –5.35 6.35 –3.86 7.06
7 A exp[B/(t+C)] 3 1.184 × 102 –2.148 × 10−3 –4.427 × 102 10.280 17 0.60 –5.81 5.88 –4.32 6.60
8 A exp(B/t) 2 8.106 × 10−2 7.888 × 103 10.171 18 0.57 –8.82 2.88 –7.53 3.39
9 A exp(B/t)+C 3 –1.778 × 102 –2.508 × 102 1.610 × 102 10.387 17 0.61 –5.60 6.09 –4.12 6.81
10 A exp[B/(t+C)] 3 2.836 × 100 1.482 × 102 –1.635 × 103 9.732 17 0.57 –6.91 4.79 –5.42 5.50
11 t/(A+t) 1 –1.526 × 103 9.973 19 0.52 –11.70 0.00 –10.92 0.00
12 At/(B+t) 2 9.733 × 10−1 –1.537 × 103 9.941 18 0.55 –9.28 2.42 –7.99 2.93
13 A+Bt/(C+t) 3 2.513 × 100 2.690 × 10−1 –1.691 × 103 9.698 17 0.57 –6.98 4.72 –5.49 5.43
14 A+B ln(t) 2 1.590 × 102 –2.037 × 101 10.435 18 0.58 –8.30 3.39 –7.02 3.90
15 (A+Bt) ln(t) 2 3.440 × 100 –1.447 × 10−3 10.513 18 0.58 –8.16 3.54 –6.87 4.05
16 (A+Bt+Ct2) ln(t) 3 1.496 × 101 –1.345 × 10−2 3.125 × 10−6 10.262 17 0.60 –5.85 5.85 –4.36 6.56

Notes. A, B, and C are the values of the optimized parameters for each model. The quoted number of degrees of freedom (d.o.f.) is equal to the number of data points, n, minus the number of independent fitting parameters, p. ΔAIC (ΔBIC) is the pairwise difference with respect to the value of the AIC (BIC) of the most likely model. (see text for details).

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