Table 3
Probability (%) that the jet orientation is such that the predicted flux is below the 2σ-level of our 5 GHz observation.
| Name | Internal jet model | Sw 1644+57, off-axis | |||
| a | c | b | Γj = 2 | Γj ∝ t-0.2 | |
|
|
|||||
| D1-9 | 39 | 78 | 83 | 49 | 17 |
| D3-13 | 62 | 89 | 91 | 52 | 26 |
| TDE1 | 7 | 92 | 100 | 0 | 0 |
| D23H-1 | 0 | 52 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| TDE2 | 0 | 75 | 98 | 20 | 1 |
| PTF10iya | 0 | 86 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| PS1-10jh | 0 | 95 | 97 | 0 | 0 |
Notes.Zero probability implies that the predicted flux is above the threshold even for i2 = π/2, while Pi = 100% implies the data cannot constrain the model. In the second to fourth column we list the results for the internal jet model, for the optimistic to the conservative scenario (Eq. (3)), for Γj = 5. In Fig. 3 we show the results for lower Lorentz factors. In the fifth and sixth column we give the probably of detecting a jet that is identical to Sw 1644+57, but observed off-axis, using two different estimates of the light curve past the last available observation (see Sect. 2.1).
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