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Algebraic quantification of the contribution of active regions to the Sun’s dipole moment: applications to century-scale polar field estimates and solar cycle forecasting
An Improved Prediction of Solar Cycles 25 and 26 Using the Informer Model: Gnevyshev Peaks and North–South Asymmetry
Jie Cao, Tingting Xu, Linhua Deng, Xueliang Zhou, Shangxi Li, Yuxia Liu, Wenhua Wang and Weihong Zhou The Astrophysical Journal 969(2) 120 (2024) https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ad4551
Ensemble Kalman Filter Data Assimilation into the Surface Flux Transport Model to Infer Surface Flows: An Observing System Simulation Experiment
Soumyaranjan Dash, Marc L. DeRosa, Mausumi Dikpati, Xudong 旭东 Sun 孙, Sushant S. Mahajan, Yang 扬 Liu 刘 and J. Todd Hoeksema The Astrophysical Journal 975(2) 288 (2024) https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ad7eac
Surface Flux Transport Modeling Using Physics-informed Neural Networks
Jithu J Athalathil, Bhargav Vaidya, Sayan Kundu, Vishal Upendran and Mark C. M. Cheung The Astrophysical Journal 975(2) 258 (2024) https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ad7d91
Predicting Maximum Amplitude and Rise Time of Solar Cycle 25 Using Modified Geomagnetic Precursor Technique
Discovery of a relation between the decay rate of the Sun’s magnetic dipole and the growth rate of the following sunspot cycle: a new precursor for solar cycle prediction
Priyansh Jaswal, Chitradeep Saha and Dibyendu Nandy Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society: Letters 528(1) L27 (2023) https://doi.org/10.1093/mnrasl/slad122
Predicting the 25th and 26th solar cycles using the long short-term memory method
Xiaohuan Liu, Shuguang Zeng, Linhua Deng, Xiangyun Zeng and Sheng Zheng Publications of the Astronomical Society of Japan 75(3) 691 (2023) https://doi.org/10.1093/pasj/psad029
Exploring the reliability of polar field rise rate as a precursor for an early prediction of solar cycle
Akash Biswas, Bidya Binay Karak and Pawan Kumar Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 526(3) 3994 (2023) https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/stad2966
Long-term solar variability: ISWAT S1 cluster review for COSPAR space weather roadmap
Alexei A. Pevtsov, Dibyendu Nandy, Ilya Usoskin, Alexander A. Pevtsov, Claudio Corti, Laure Lefèvre, Mathew Owens, Gang Li, Natalie Krivova, Chitradeep Saha, Barbara Perri, Allan S. Brun, Antoine Strugarek, Maher A. Dayeh, Yury A. Nagovitsyn and Robertus Erdélyi Advances in Space Research (2023) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2023.08.034
Predicting Solar cycle 25 using an optimized long short-term memory model based on sunspot area data
A non-linear approach to predicting the amplitude and timing of the sunspot area in cycle 25
Partha Chowdhury, Volkan Sarp, Ali Kilcik, et al. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 513(3) 4152 (2022) https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/stac1162
An Overview of Sunspot Observations in 1727–1748
Hisashi Hayakawa, Kentaro Hattori, Mitsuru Sôma, Tomoya Iju, Bruno P. Besser and Shunsuke Kosaka The Astrophysical Journal 941(2) 151 (2022) https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ac6671
Shohei Nishimoto, Kyoko Watanabe, Hidekatsu Jin, Toshiki Kawai, Shinsuke Imada, Tomoko Kawate, Yuichi Otsuka, Atsuki Shinbori, Takuya Tsugawa and Michi Nishioka (2022) https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-2185113/v1
Inference of magnetic field during the Dalton minimum: Case study with recorded sunspot areas
Shoma Uneme, Shinsuke Imada, Harim Lee, Eunsu Park, Hisashi Hayakawa, Tomoya Iju and Yong-Jae Moon Publications of the Astronomical Society of Japan 74(4) 767 (2022) https://doi.org/10.1093/pasj/psac032
The Polar Precursor Method for Solar Cycle Prediction: Comparison of Predictors and Their Temporal Range
Pawan Kumar, Melinda Nagy, Alexandre Lemerle, Bidya Binay Karak and Kristof Petrovay The Astrophysical Journal 909(1) 87 (2021) https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/abdbb4
Progress in Solar Cycle Predictions: Sunspot Cycles 24–25 in Perspective
Solar evolution and extrema: current state of understanding of long-term solar variability and its planetary impacts
Dibyendu Nandy, Petrus C. H. Martens, Vladimir Obridko, Soumyaranjan Dash and Katya Georgieva Progress in Earth and Planetary Science 8(1) (2021) https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-021-00430-x
Zonal harmonics of solar magnetic field for solar cycle forecast
V.N. Obridko, D.D. Sokoloff, V.V. Pipin, A.S. Shibalva and I.M. Livshits Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics 225 105743 (2021) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2021.105743
PSTEP: project for solar–terrestrial environment prediction
An introduction of a reward-based time-series forecasting model and its application in predicting the dynamic and complicated behavior of the Earth rotation (Delta-T values)
Hisashi Hayakawa, Frédéric Clette, Toshihiro Horaguchi, et al. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 492(3) 4513 (2020) https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/stz3345
A New Tool for Predicting the Solar Cycle: Correlation Between Flux Transport at the Equator and the Poles
Prediction of solar cycle 25: a non-linear approach
V Sarp, A Kilcik, V Yurchyshyn, J P Rozelot and A Ozguc Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 481(3) 2981 (2018) https://doi.org/10.1093/mnras/sty2470
Effect of Magnetic Field Strength on Solar Differential Rotation and Meridional Circulation