A&A 396, 235-242 (2002)
DOI: 10.1051/0004-6361:20021340
Was one sunspot cycle in the 18th century really lost?
N. A. Krivova1, 2, S. K. Solanki1 and J. Beer31 Max-Planck-Institut für Aeronomie, 37191 Katlenburg-Lindau, Germany
e-mail: natalie@linmpi.mpg.de; solanki@linmpi.mpg.de
2 On leave from Astronomical Institute, St. Petersburg University, 198504 St. Petersburg, Russia
3 Swiss Federal Institute of Environmental Science and Technology (EAWAG), 8600 Duebendorf, Switzerland
e-mail: beer@eawag.ch
(Received 17 July 2002 / Accepted 12 September 2002)
Abstract
The unusually long 4th solar cycle has recently been proposed by
Usoskin et al. (2001) to be composed of two cycles.
They argue that a weak and short cycle might have been lost in sparse
sunspot data at the end of the 18th century.
Here we check this hypothesis in different ways.
First, we consider the sunspot number record in greater detail and compare
in a statistical sense the sunspot observations of the period in question
with those at other times.
In a statistical sense the sunspot numbers recorded at the time of the
proposed new cycle minimum are extremely untypical for other minima in the
solar cycle record, but quite usual for the declining phase of the solar
cycle.
We also analyse other available proxies of solar activity, such as
variations of the cosmogenic nuclides
10Beand
14Cas well as auroral
activity.
These historical records are sufficiently long and provide an independent
testimony of the cyclic behaviour of solar activity at the end of the 18th
century.
We found no evidence for a lost cycle in any of these data sets.
Finally, we compare the proposed new cycle with the other cycles in the
sunspot record.
This reveals that the proposed "missing" cycle has very unusual properties,
much more so than the original, standard cycle 4.
Taken together, the evidence from these various tests strongly suggests that
no cycle was missed and that the official sunspot cycle numbering and
parameters are correct.
Key words: Sun: activity -- Sun: magnetic fields -- sunspots
Offprint request: N. A. Krivova, natalie@linmpi.mpg.de
© ESO 2002

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